🏘️ Housing market · data to Aug 2026
Is now a good time to buy a home in Texas?
The typical home value in Texas is $300K as of Aug 2026 (Zillow Home Value Index), down 1.3% from a year earlier. Over five years prices have compounded at +1.8% a year and sit 6.6% below their peak. Prices are 14.8% below their 10-year trend line.
$300K
Typical home value
-1.3%
1-year change
-1.1%
12-month outlook
59/100
Buy-timing score
WAIT
WAIT — the model projects prices about -3.8% lower around Feb 2028. Patience is likely to be rewarded; use the time to negotiate and arrange financing.
Best price windowFeb 2028model estimate
Texas price trend & forecast
-1.5%
3-year CAGR
+1.8%
5-year CAGR
-6.6%
From peak
-14.8%
vs 10-yr trend
+0.5%
Momentum (annualised)
Cities in Texas ranked by buy-timing score
| City | Typical value | 1Y change | 5Y CAGR | 12M outlook | Signal | Buy-timing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leander | $423K | -5.5% | -3.4% | +0.1% | ACCUMULATE | 78/100 |
| Dripping Springs | $695K | +0.3% | -1.4% | +0.8% | ACCUMULATE | 76/100 |
| Buda | $351K | -3.7% | -2.9% | -0.5% | ACCUMULATE | 73/100 |
| Georgetown | $423K | -3.7% | -1.9% | +0.0% | ACCUMULATE | 71/100 |
| Copperas Cove | $228K | +0.4% | +3.5% | +0.7% | ACCUMULATE | 71/100 |
| Fredericksburg | $525K | -3.0% | +0.8% | +1.0% | ACCUMULATE | 71/100 |
| San Marcos | $308K | -2.9% | -1.6% | -0.3% | ACCUMULATE | 70/100 |
| San Juan | $183K | -0.3% | +5.2% | +1.3% | ACCUMULATE | 70/100 |
| Arlington | $311K | -0.3% | +2.4% | -0.1% | ACCUMULATE | 68/100 |
| Abilene | $227K | +10.2% | +5.2% | +8.3% | BUY | 68/100 |
| Granbury | $375K | +0.4% | +2.1% | +0.6% | ACCUMULATE | 68/100 |
| Pharr | $166K | -1.8% | +4.8% | +0.2% | ACCUMULATE | 67/100 |
| Mansfield | $445K | -0.1% | +2.4% | +0.6% | ACCUMULATE | 67/100 |
| Alamo | $176K | +3.1% | +6.0% | +1.6% | ACCUMULATE | 67/100 |
| Watauga | $276K | -0.1% | +2.5% | -0.4% | ACCUMULATE | 67/100 |
| Benbrook | $320K | +0.6% | +2.9% | +1.1% | ACCUMULATE | 67/100 |
| El Paso | $240K | +2.9% | +5.7% | +2.7% | ACCUMULATE | 66/100 |
| Amarillo | $213K | +4.7% | +4.5% | +4.1% | BUY | 66/100 |
| Killeen | $220K | -1.1% | +2.9% | -1.0% | ACCUMULATE | 66/100 |
| Pasadena | $220K | -1.7% | +2.1% | +0.0% | ACCUMULATE | 66/100 |
| Hurst | $340K | +1.5% | +3.5% | +1.0% | ACCUMULATE | 66/100 |
| Mercedes | $144K | +0.9% | +6.5% | +0.5% | ACCUMULATE | 66/100 |
| Azle | $335K | +0.2% | +2.1% | +0.2% | ACCUMULATE | 66/100 |
| North Richland Hills | $370K | +1.0% | +3.2% | +0.7% | ACCUMULATE | 65/100 |
| Euless | $356K | +0.2% | +3.3% | +0.3% | ACCUMULATE | 65/100 |
| Waxahachie | $369K | -1.2% | +1.9% | -0.4% | ACCUMULATE | 65/100 |
| Midlothian | $453K | -0.2% | +2.3% | +0.2% | ACCUMULATE | 65/100 |
| Haslet | $386K | -2.6% | +1.2% | -0.5% | ACCUMULATE | 65/100 |
| Carrollton | $403K | -1.1% | +2.9% | +0.2% | ACCUMULATE | 64/100 |
| Bedford | $377K | +1.4% | +3.5% | +0.8% | ACCUMULATE | 64/100 |
| Socorro | $213K | +2.4% | +6.2% | +2.3% | ACCUMULATE | 64/100 |
| Gatesville | $247K | +1.8% | +2.8% | +0.6% | ACCUMULATE | 64/100 |
| Canyon | $303K | +3.4% | +3.9% | +3.3% | BUY | 64/100 |
| Flower Mound | $608K | +0.2% | +3.7% | +0.3% | ACCUMULATE | 63/100 |
| Weatherford | $398K | +0.4% | +2.8% | +0.3% | ACCUMULATE | 63/100 |
| Donna | $155K | +3.1% | +6.8% | +0.5% | ACCUMULATE | 63/100 |
| Boerne | $559K | -0.3% | +2.0% | +0.0% | ACCUMULATE | 63/100 |
| Lindale | $297K | -1.9% | +3.5% | -0.4% | ACCUMULATE | 63/100 |
| La Porte | $258K | +0.7% | +2.6% | +0.5% | ACCUMULATE | 62/100 |
| Woodway | $372K | +1.1% | +2.8% | +0.0% | ACCUMULATE | 62/100 |
| Spring | $364K | -0.6% | +2.9% | -0.2% | ACCUMULATE | 61/100 |
| McAllen | $230K | +0.7% | +4.8% | +0.3% | ACCUMULATE | 61/100 |
| Wichita Falls | $178K | +1.7% | +3.8% | +0.9% | ACCUMULATE | 61/100 |
| Grapevine | $558K | +2.7% | +4.9% | +1.1% | ACCUMULATE | 61/100 |
| Keller | $658K | +2.1% | +4.5% | +0.7% | ACCUMULATE | 61/100 |
| Southlake | $1.33M | +4.9% | +6.4% | +1.8% | ACCUMULATE | 61/100 |
| Colleyville | $929K | +4.5% | +5.7% | +1.8% | ACCUMULATE | 61/100 |
| Dallas | $307K | -1.2% | +2.0% | -0.4% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Austin | $501K | -3.0% | -3.4% | +0.4% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Fort Worth | $296K | -1.5% | +1.7% | -1.0% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Plano | $495K | -3.4% | +2.6% | -0.3% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Irving | $341K | +0.1% | +3.0% | -0.3% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Frisco | $640K | -3.9% | +2.8% | -1.0% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| McKinney | $474K | -5.1% | +1.8% | -0.5% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Grand Prairie | $315K | -1.1% | +2.7% | -0.7% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Round Rock | $399K | -5.0% | -3.0% | -0.9% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Lewisville | $389K | -2.2% | +2.4% | -0.7% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Waco | $199K | -0.4% | +2.4% | +0.2% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Richardson | $441K | +0.8% | +3.5% | +0.3% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Pflugerville | $367K | -4.7% | -3.4% | -1.1% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Allen | $486K | -5.2% | +2.2% | -0.8% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Tomball | $358K | -1.2% | +2.6% | -0.6% | ACCUMULATE | 60/100 |
| Humble | $254K | -1.6% | +2.3% | -0.8% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Harlingen | $203K | -0.5% | +2.8% | +0.2% | ACCUMULATE | 60/100 |
| Cedar Park | $464K | -2.8% | -2.5% | -0.1% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Little Elm | $394K | -5.1% | +0.4% | -2.2% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Lufkin | $211K | -0.6% | +2.7% | +0.4% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Desoto | $321K | -1.1% | +2.1% | -1.1% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Galveston | $318K | -3.8% | +0.1% | -1.5% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Kyle | $295K | -5.9% | -3.6% | -1.1% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Cedar Hill | $313K | -0.8% | +2.0% | -1.0% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Weslaco | $181K | -1.3% | +5.7% | -0.6% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Rockwall | $477K | -0.9% | +2.6% | -0.6% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Lancaster | $271K | -1.8% | +2.3% | -1.6% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Burleson | $338K | -0.8% | +2.4% | -0.8% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| The Colony | $401K | -2.2% | +2.5% | -0.2% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Kerrville | $355K | -1.2% | +0.8% | -0.1% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Duncanville | $277K | -0.0% | +2.7% | -1.3% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Manor | $311K | -6.4% | -3.8% | -1.9% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Hutto | $330K | -6.6% | -3.1% | -1.1% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Palestine | $202K | +4.2% | +3.1% | +0.1% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Bastrop | $348K | -4.3% | -0.4% | -1.4% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Farmers Branch | $379K | +1.4% | +3.0% | +0.4% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Prosper | $758K | -5.3% | +2.7% | -1.4% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Harker Heights | $298K | +0.5% | +1.9% | -0.8% | ACCUMULATE | 60/100 |
| Schertz | $312K | -1.1% | +1.0% | -1.0% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Crowley | $313K | -2.4% | +1.5% | -1.2% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Canyon Lake | $394K | -1.8% | +0.5% | -1.1% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Balch Springs | $222K | -3.0% | +1.4% | -1.8% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Celina | $510K | -9.0% | +1.4% | -2.2% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Mount Pleasant | $225K | -1.4% | +1.6% | -1.2% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Saginaw | $298K | -1.4% | +1.6% | -1.0% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Sachse | $429K | -2.9% | +2.4% | -1.1% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Sulphur Springs | $244K | -2.7% | -0.7% | -1.7% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Lockhart | $274K | -5.3% | -0.5% | -2.8% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Decatur | $442K | +1.4% | +2.7% | +0.1% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Corinth | $409K | -1.9% | +2.0% | -1.2% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Kaufman | $294K | +2.0% | +1.6% | -0.2% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Mineral Wells | $207K | -0.2% | +0.6% | -0.6% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Taylor | $281K | -2.6% | -1.4% | -0.7% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Pampa | $109K | +2.6% | +1.7% | +3.6% | BUY | 60/100 |
| Springtown | $392K | +0.5% | +2.9% | -0.4% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Joshua | $354K | -0.2% | +2.8% | -0.9% | WAIT | 60/100 |
| Garland | $284K | -2.7% | +2.2% | -1.8% | WAIT | 59/100 |
| Edinburg | $218K | +0.6% | +5.0% | -0.3% | ACCUMULATE | 59/100 |
| Rowlett | $365K | -2.4% | +2.2% | -1.7% | WAIT | 59/100 |
| Magnolia | $361K | -2.2% | +1.2% | -0.9% | WAIT | 59/100 |
| Terrell | $283K | -0.6% | +2.1% | -1.6% | WAIT | 59/100 |
| Deer Park | $281K | +0.1% | +2.7% | -0.1% | ACCUMULATE | 59/100 |
| Houston | $262K | -1.9% | +2.1% | -1.2% | WAIT | 58/100 |
| Denton | $347K | -3.0% | +1.4% | -2.0% | WAIT | 58/100 |
| Mission | $220K | -1.1% | +4.3% | -1.0% | WAIT | 58/100 |
| Wylie | $413K | -5.5% | +1.3% | -2.5% | WAIT | 58/100 |
| Belton | $313K | -1.8% | +1.5% | -2.0% | WAIT | 58/100 |
| Coppell | $616K | +0.2% | +4.8% | +0.2% | ACCUMULATE | 58/100 |
| Greenville | $242K | -2.3% | +1.9% | -2.7% | WAIT | 58/100 |
| Ennis | $264K | -1.6% | +1.2% | -1.4% | WAIT | 58/100 |
| Fresno | $273K | -1.9% | +1.8% | -1.4% | WAIT | 58/100 |
| Los Fresnos | $227K | +3.1% | +4.8% | -0.1% | ACCUMULATE | 58/100 |
| Corsicana | $180K | +0.4% | +3.9% | -0.6% | WAIT | 58/100 |
| Nederland | $226K | +2.6% | +2.1% | +2.5% | ACCUMULATE | 58/100 |
| Fulshear | $499K | -3.4% | +3.0% | -1.1% | WAIT | 58/100 |
| San Antonio | $248K | -2.2% | +0.7% | -1.8% | WAIT | 57/100 |
| Lubbock | $213K | +2.4% | +2.5% | +0.4% | ACCUMULATE | 57/100 |
| Brownsville | $199K | +1.5% | +5.4% | -0.4% | ACCUMULATE | 57/100 |
| Mesquite | $259K | -1.8% | +1.8% | -2.5% | WAIT | 57/100 |
| New Braunfels | $347K | -1.9% | -0.6% | -1.7% | WAIT | 57/100 |
| Baytown | $246K | -0.8% | +2.4% | -1.0% | WAIT | 57/100 |
| Huntsville | $263K | -0.2% | +1.5% | -0.8% | WAIT | 57/100 |
| Texarkana | $209K | +3.3% | +1.9% | +1.3% | WAIT | 57/100 |
| Seguin | $271K | -1.6% | +0.0% | -1.4% | WAIT | 57/100 |
| Montgomery | $391K | -1.7% | +2.5% | -0.8% | WAIT | 57/100 |
| Stephenville | $324K | -0.7% | +4.3% | -0.9% | WAIT | 57/100 |
| Pecan Grove | $397K | -0.9% | +2.8% | -0.8% | WAIT | 57/100 |
| Atascocita | $308K | -1.7% | +1.7% | -1.4% | WAIT | 56/100 |
| Cleburne | $270K | -2.5% | +2.1% | -2.3% | WAIT | 56/100 |
| Friendswood | $459K | +0.7% | +3.5% | -0.1% | ACCUMULATE | 56/100 |
| Willis | $284K | -1.3% | +1.4% | -0.7% | WAIT | 56/100 |
| Aubrey | $340K | -7.0% | +0.4% | -3.8% | WAIT | 56/100 |
| Plainview | $121K | -4.1% | -0.9% | -0.2% | WAIT | 56/100 |
| University Park | $2.51M | +9.0% | +9.7% | +3.1% | BUY | 56/100 |
| Conroe | $313K | -1.7% | +1.7% | -1.2% | WAIT | 55/100 |
| Pearland | $381K | -0.4% | +3.0% | -0.4% | ACCUMULATE | 55/100 |
| Victoria | $219K | +1.6% | +2.9% | +0.4% | ACCUMULATE | 55/100 |
| Temple | $245K | -3.1% | +1.6% | -3.2% | WAIT | 55/100 |
| Rosenberg | $312K | -2.2% | +2.2% | -1.8% | WAIT | 55/100 |
| Forney | $304K | -4.6% | -0.9% | -3.0% | WAIT | 55/100 |
| Denison | $222K | -6.2% | +0.4% | -3.7% | WAIT | 55/100 |
| Floresville | $353K | -1.1% | +1.0% | -0.8% | WAIT | 55/100 |
| Laredo | $223K | +2.1% | +2.1% | -0.0% | ACCUMULATE | 54/100 |
| Richmond | $375K | -2.8% | +2.3% | -2.0% | WAIT | 54/100 |
| Beaumont | $175K | +3.1% | +0.4% | +1.2% | ACCUMULATE | 54/100 |
| Nacogdoches | $225K | +5.8% | +3.7% | +1.3% | ACCUMULATE | 54/100 |
| Cibolo | $331K | -1.5% | +0.6% | -1.9% | WAIT | 54/100 |
| Brenham | $327K | -1.3% | +1.6% | -1.7% | WAIT | 54/100 |
| Corpus Christi | $223K | +0.8% | +0.8% | -0.7% | WAIT | 53/100 |
| Vidor | $187K | +2.8% | -1.4% | +0.9% | ACCUMULATE | 53/100 |
| Manvel | $442K | -2.3% | +2.1% | -1.1% | WAIT | 53/100 |
| Port Arthur | $129K | +3.4% | +0.1% | +0.0% | WAIT | 52/100 |
| Orange | $187K | +4.5% | -0.4% | +0.8% | ACCUMULATE | 52/100 |
| Big Spring | $148K | +4.7% | -3.3% | +0.7% | WAIT | 52/100 |
| Channelview | $213K | +0.1% | +2.4% | -2.3% | WAIT | 52/100 |
| Marshall | $167K | +5.0% | +0.9% | +1.6% | ACCUMULATE | 52/100 |
| Brownwood | $172K | -1.2% | +1.6% | -1.1% | WAIT | 52/100 |
| Anna | $337K | -6.8% | -0.3% | -4.2% | WAIT | 52/100 |
| Katy | $332K | -3.2% | +1.9% | -2.5% | WAIT | 51/100 |
| Paris | $175K | +0.2% | +1.0% | -1.3% | WAIT | 51/100 |
| Athens | $258K | -0.3% | +2.2% | -1.2% | WAIT | 51/100 |
| Cinco Ranch | $534K | -1.0% | +4.5% | -1.0% | WAIT | 51/100 |
| Sugar Land | $443K | -0.0% | +3.9% | -0.8% | WAIT | 50/100 |
| Longview | $235K | +0.8% | +4.5% | -0.2% | WAIT | 50/100 |
| San Angelo | $212K | -5.2% | +1.3% | -3.3% | WAIT | 50/100 |
| Angleton | $251K | -2.0% | +2.0% | -1.1% | WAIT | 50/100 |
| Kilgore | $217K | +1.5% | +4.2% | -0.4% | WAIT | 50/100 |
| Cleveland | $231K | -4.4% | +0.2% | -3.4% | WAIT | 49/100 |
| Del Rio | $205K | -4.1% | +1.4% | -3.0% | WAIT | 49/100 |
| Dayton | $307K | -1.4% | +2.6% | -1.6% | WAIT | 49/100 |
| Lake Jackson | $273K | +0.5% | +2.4% | -0.5% | WAIT | 49/100 |
| Princeton | $282K | -9.8% | -1.6% | -5.6% | WAIT | 49/100 |
| Tyler | $252K | -0.2% | +3.9% | -2.0% | WAIT | 48/100 |
| Alvin | $294K | -0.9% | +3.0% | -1.5% | WAIT | 48/100 |
| Converse | $240K | -4.4% | +0.4% | -4.2% | WAIT | 48/100 |
| Crosby | $262K | -2.9% | +1.8% | -2.7% | WAIT | 48/100 |
| Midland | $331K | +1.5% | +3.1% | -0.4% | ACCUMULATE | 47/100 |
| San Benito | $167K | +5.8% | +2.6% | -0.6% | ACCUMULATE | 47/100 |
| Bryan | $274K | +0.4% | +3.5% | -1.7% | WAIT | 44/100 |
| Beeville | $164K | -3.4% | -3.5% | -2.9% | WAIT | 43/100 |
| Odessa | $251K | +3.6% | +2.8% | -1.6% | WAIT | 40/100 |
| College Station | $345K | -0.4% | +3.5% | -2.1% | WAIT | 40/100 |
| Uvalde | $176K | -8.1% | -0.6% | -3.5% | WAIT | 40/100 |
| Kingsville | $146K | -2.1% | +0.1% | -2.9% | WAIT | 39/100 |
| Sherman | $252K | -6.6% | +1.1% | -6.5% | WAIT | 35/100 |
| Alice | $136K | -9.8% | -3.9% | -3.3% | WAIT | 33/100 |
| Eagle Pass | $216K | -6.3% | +3.2% | -5.9% | WAIT | 21/100 |
Frequently asked questions
Is now a good time to buy a home in Texas?
As of Aug 2026, our buy-timing signal for Texas is WAIT — the model projects prices about -3.8% lower around Feb 2028. Patience is likely to be rewarded; use the time to negotiate and arrange financing. Buy-timing score: 59/100.
Will home prices in Texas go down in 2027?
The model projects -1.1% over the next 12 months: about $296K by Aug 2027, with an 80% range of $291K–$302K (today $300K). Forecasts are statistical and can be wrong — rates, supply and local events matter.
What is the average home price in Texas?
The typical (mid-tier) home value in Texas is $300K as of Aug 2026, -1.3% year over year.
What is the cheapest time of year to buy in Texas?
Historically, prices in Texas run lowest in February, about 1.3% below the annual average, and highest in July.
Which areas in Texas have the best buy-timing right now?
Highest buy-timing scores: Leander (78/100, ACCUMULATE), Dripping Springs (76/100, ACCUMULATE) and Buda (73/100, ACCUMULATE). Fastest-rising prices: Abilene (+10.2%), University Park (+9.0%) and Nacogdoches (+5.8%).
Other states
Source & method
Data: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) — all homes, mid-tier, raw monthly, monthly, latest Aug 2026. Page regenerated 2026-10-08 22:04 PDT. Signals combine valuation vs the long-run trend, momentum and a damped-trend forecast with seasonal adjustment; the “best price window” is the lowest point of the projected path. BUY = prices projected to rise and not stretched; ACCUMULATE = near fair value; WAIT = a dip is projected; HOT = running well ahead of trend; CAUTION = stretched with fading momentum.
Housing forecasts are statistical projections with wide uncertainty; local factors (interest rates, supply, school districts, micro-location) can dominate. Not real-estate, mortgage or investment advice.