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🏘️ Housing market · data to Aug 2026

Is now a good time to buy a home in Nevada?

The typical home value in Nevada is $442K as of Aug 2026 (Zillow Home Value Index), down 1.8% from a year earlier. Over five years prices have compounded at +2.5% a year and sit 4.6% below their peak. Prices are 15.2% below their 10-year trend line.

$442K
Typical home value
-1.8%
1-year change
-0.7%
12-month outlook
64/100
Buy-timing score
ACCUMULATE
ACCUMULATE — prices are near fair value with a modest expected change (-0.7% over 12 months). Buy opportunistically and negotiate on price. Seasonally, prices tend to be softest around Feb 2027.
Best price windowFeb 2028model estimate

Nevada price trend & forecast

+1.1%
3-year CAGR
+2.5%
5-year CAGR
-4.6%
From peak
-15.2%
vs 10-yr trend
-0.5%
Momentum (annualised)
$220K$284K$348K$413K$477KBest entrySep 2016Aug 2026Aug 2028
Solid line: Zillow typical home value, monthly. Dashed: model forecast with 80% band. Green dot: projected best entry.

Explore on the interactive heat map →

Cities in Nevada ranked by buy-timing score

CityTypical value1Y change5Y CAGR12M outlookSignalBuy-timing
Sun Valley$441K+1.8%+2.0% +1.0%ACCUMULATE67/100
North Las Vegas$402K-1.7%+2.9% -0.9%ACCUMULATE66/100
Sparks$538K+2.6%+1.8% +1.2%ACCUMULATE66/100
Fernley$405K+4.4%+1.6% +1.2%ACCUMULATE66/100
Carson City$504K+1.4%+2.1% +1.2%ACCUMULATE65/100
Reno$577K+2.2%+2.0% +1.2%ACCUMULATE64/100
Gardnerville$616K+2.1%+1.9% +1.2%ACCUMULATE64/100
Mesquite$372K-3.0%+1.2% -1.6%ACCUMULATE64/100
Fallon$395K+2.9%+3.0% +0.5%ACCUMULATE63/100
Henderson$479K-2.4%+2.3% -1.0%ACCUMULATE62/100
Las Vegas$419K-3.1%+2.8% -1.2%WAIT60/100
Pahrump$364K+0.3%+2.8% -1.8%WAIT60/100
Elko$365K+2.1%+3.9% +1.3%ACCUMULATE52/100

Frequently asked questions

Is now a good time to buy a home in Nevada?

As of Aug 2026, our buy-timing signal for Nevada is ACCUMULATE — prices are near fair value with a modest expected change (-0.7% over 12 months). Buy opportunistically and negotiate on price. Seasonally, prices tend to be softest around Feb 2027. Buy-timing score: 64/100.

Will home prices in Nevada go down in 2027?

The model projects -0.7% over the next 12 months: about $439K by Aug 2027, with an 80% range of $428K–$450K (today $442K). Forecasts are statistical and can be wrong — rates, supply and local events matter.

What is the average home price in Nevada?

The typical (mid-tier) home value in Nevada is $442K as of Aug 2026, -1.8% year over year.

What is the cheapest time of year to buy in Nevada?

Historically, prices in Nevada run lowest in February, about 1.0% below the annual average, and highest in July.

Which areas in Nevada have the best buy-timing right now?

Highest buy-timing scores: Sun Valley (67/100, ACCUMULATE), North Las Vegas (66/100, ACCUMULATE) and Sparks (66/100, ACCUMULATE). Fastest-rising prices: Fernley (+4.4%), Fallon (+2.9%) and Sparks (+2.6%).

Other states

Source & method

Data: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) — all homes, mid-tier, raw monthly, monthly, latest Aug 2026. Page regenerated 2026-10-08 22:04 PDT. Signals combine valuation vs the long-run trend, momentum and a damped-trend forecast with seasonal adjustment; the “best price window” is the lowest point of the projected path. BUY = prices projected to rise and not stretched; ACCUMULATE = near fair value; WAIT = a dip is projected; HOT = running well ahead of trend; CAUTION = stretched with fading momentum.

Housing forecasts are statistical projections with wide uncertainty; local factors (interest rates, supply, school districts, micro-location) can dominate. Not real-estate, mortgage or investment advice.