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🏘️ Housing market · data to Aug 2026

Is now a good time to buy a home in Austin, TX?

The typical home value in Austin, TX is $501K as of Aug 2026 (Zillow Home Value Index), down 3.0% from a year earlier. Over five years prices have compounded at -3.4% a year and sit 27.7% below their peak. Prices are 22.1% below their 10-year trend line.

$501K
Typical home value
-3.0%
1-year change
+0.4%
12-month outlook
60/100
Buy-timing score
WAIT
WAIT — the model projects prices about -3.1% lower around Jan 2027. Patience is likely to be rewarded; use the time to negotiate and arrange financing.
Best price windowJan 2027model estimate

Austin, TX price trend & forecast

-4.9%
3-year CAGR
-3.4%
5-year CAGR
-27.7%
From peak
-22.1%
vs 10-yr trend
-0.3%
Momentum (annualised)
$330K$425K$521K$617K$713KBest entrySep 2016Aug 2026Aug 2028
Solid line: Zillow typical home value, monthly. Dashed: model forecast with 80% band. Green dot: projected best entry.

Explore on the interactive heat map →

Frequently asked questions

Is now a good time to buy a home in Austin, TX?

As of Aug 2026, our buy-timing signal for Austin, TX is WAIT — the model projects prices about -3.1% lower around Jan 2027. Patience is likely to be rewarded; use the time to negotiate and arrange financing. Buy-timing score: 60/100.

Will home prices in Austin, TX go down in 2027?

The model projects +0.4% over the next 12 months: about $503K by Aug 2027, with an 80% range of $485K–$521K (today $501K). Forecasts are statistical and can be wrong — rates, supply and local events matter.

What is the average home price in Austin, TX?

The typical (mid-tier) home value in Austin, TX is $501K as of Aug 2026, -3.0% year over year.

What is the cheapest time of year to buy in Austin, TX?

Historically, prices in Austin, TX run lowest in January, about 2.2% below the annual average, and highest in June.

Other cities in Texas

Source & method

Data: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) — all homes, mid-tier, raw monthly, monthly, latest Aug 2026. Page regenerated 2026-10-08 22:04 PDT. Signals combine valuation vs the long-run trend, momentum and a damped-trend forecast with seasonal adjustment; the “best price window” is the lowest point of the projected path. BUY = prices projected to rise and not stretched; ACCUMULATE = near fair value; WAIT = a dip is projected; HOT = running well ahead of trend; CAUTION = stretched with fading momentum.

Housing forecasts are statistical projections with wide uncertainty; local factors (interest rates, supply, school districts, micro-location) can dominate. Not real-estate, mortgage or investment advice.