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🏘️ Housing market · data to Aug 2026

Is now a good time to buy a home in North Carolina?

The typical home value in North Carolina is $335K as of Aug 2026 (Zillow Home Value Index), down 0.2% from a year earlier. Over five years prices have compounded at +3.9% a year. Prices are 15.1% below their 10-year trend line.

$335K
Typical home value
-0.2%
1-year change
-1.5%
12-month outlook
56/100
Buy-timing score
WAIT
WAIT — the model projects prices about -4.5% lower around Feb 2028. Patience is likely to be rewarded; use the time to negotiate and arrange financing.
Best price windowFeb 2028model estimate

North Carolina price trend & forecast

+0.4%
3-year CAGR
+3.9%
5-year CAGR
-1.2%
From peak
-15.1%
vs 10-yr trend
+0.6%
Momentum (annualised)
$167K$212K$258K$303K$349KBest entrySep 2016Aug 2026Aug 2028
Solid line: Zillow typical home value, monthly. Dashed: model forecast with 80% band. Green dot: projected best entry.

Explore on the interactive heat map →

Cities in North Carolina ranked by buy-timing score

CityTypical value1Y change5Y CAGR12M outlookSignalBuy-timing
Wilmington$421K+0.3%+5.2% +1.0%ACCUMULATE67/100
Hampstead$490K+1.0%+4.3% +0.9%ACCUMULATE66/100
Harrisburg$498K-0.4%+4.1% -0.1%ACCUMULATE66/100
Brevard$459K-1.9%+5.4% -0.3%ACCUMULATE65/100
Fuquay Varina$438K-2.0%+2.9% -0.9%ACCUMULATE64/100
Lumberton$153K+3.3%+5.3% +2.2%ACCUMULATE64/100
Holly Springs$576K-0.6%+4.2% -0.0%ACCUMULATE64/100
Wake Forest$508K-0.8%+3.2% -0.5%ACCUMULATE63/100
Boone$485K+1.2%+5.0% +0.2%ACCUMULATE63/100
Apex$594K-1.4%+4.3% -0.3%ACCUMULATE62/100
Mount Airy$225K+4.0%+4.8% +2.6%ACCUMULATE62/100
Cornelius$523K+0.8%+4.5% -0.2%ACCUMULATE62/100
Denver$553K-0.6%+4.0% -0.0%ACCUMULATE62/100
Cary$621K-1.0%+4.7% -0.3%ACCUMULATE61/100
Winterville$279K+1.6%+5.5% +0.0%ACCUMULATE61/100
Charlotte$393K-1.2%+3.2% -1.7%WAIT60/100
Raleigh$429K-1.5%+2.7% -0.7%WAIT60/100
Durham$389K-3.7%+2.9% -1.8%WAIT60/100
Concord$381K-0.4%+3.7% -1.2%WAIT60/100
High Point$251K-0.0%+4.4% -0.5%WAIT60/100
Jacksonville$264K+3.5%+7.0% +0.8%ACCUMULATE60/100
Kernersville$322K+0.7%+4.2% -0.1%ACCUMULATE60/100
Garner$380K-1.7%+2.7% -1.0%WAIT60/100
Rocky Mount$190K+0.6%+5.8% +0.1%WAIT60/100
Kannapolis$280K+0.2%+4.1% -0.6%WAIT60/100
Lincolnton$298K+1.7%+5.6% -0.3%WAIT60/100
Morrisville$470K-4.6%+2.5% -1.5%WAIT60/100
Shelby$213K+0.1%+2.2% -2.2%WAIT60/100
Knightdale$363K-1.8%+2.3% -1.4%WAIT60/100
Albemarle$264K+1.6%+5.8% -0.4%WAIT60/100
Newton$260K+1.5%+5.8% +0.2%WAIT60/100
Kings Mountain$244K+1.0%+3.8% -1.2%WAIT60/100
Belmont$432K-0.4%+4.6% -0.8%WAIT60/100
Eden$149K-1.3%+1.3% +0.3%WAIT60/100
Wendell$367K-1.3%+2.8% -1.1%WAIT60/100
Selma$273K+0.5%+3.5% -1.4%WAIT60/100
Conover$278K+0.8%+5.5% -0.5%WAIT60/100
Richlands$277K+4.3%+7.5% +0.9%ACCUMULATE60/100
Winston-Salem$264K-0.1%+4.6% -0.8%WAIT59/100
Huntersville$547K+0.3%+5.3% -0.7%ACCUMULATE59/100
Hickory$296K+1.3%+5.4% -0.3%WAIT59/100
New Bern$284K+1.9%+6.2% +0.3%ACCUMULATE59/100
Raeford$286K-0.2%+6.1% -0.2%ACCUMULATE59/100
Mint Hill$512K+0.6%+4.8% -0.7%WAIT59/100
Murphy$277K-0.4%+4.2% -1.6%WAIT59/100
Greenville$237K+0.9%+5.5% -0.6%WAIT58/100
Monroe$357K-0.5%+4.6% -1.8%WAIT58/100
Indian Trail$414K-2.5%+3.4% -2.3%WAIT58/100
Franklin$301K+1.5%+6.0% -0.4%WAIT58/100
Waynesville$355K-3.0%+3.3% -1.6%WAIT58/100
Mocksville$285K+3.6%+4.6% +0.7%ACCUMULATE58/100
Hillsborough$472K-2.7%+4.2% -0.9%WAIT58/100
Leland$384K-0.5%+4.3% -1.3%ACCUMULATE58/100
Davidson$652K+0.4%+4.8% -0.6%ACCUMULATE58/100
Chapel Hill$632K-0.5%+5.0% -0.4%WAIT57/100
Gastonia$275K-0.9%+4.3% -2.4%WAIT57/100
Salisbury$281K-0.5%+4.0% -1.3%WAIT57/100
Zebulon$340K-0.2%+2.9% -1.9%WAIT57/100
Weaverville$462K-3.7%+3.1% -1.5%WAIT57/100
Reidsville$213K+2.2%+1.7% -0.2%WAIT56/100
Matthews$510K-0.2%+5.3% -1.0%WAIT56/100
Mount Holly$358K-0.1%+4.1% -2.0%WAIT56/100
Pittsboro$556K+0.5%+4.7% -0.7%WAIT56/100
North Wilkesboro$215K+3.4%+5.7% +0.4%WAIT56/100
Greensboro$264K-0.3%+4.3% -1.5%WAIT55/100
Clemmons$387K-0.2%+4.1% -0.7%WAIT55/100
Louisburg$308K+0.3%+4.5% -1.7%WAIT55/100
Mooresville$478K-0.6%+3.8% -1.8%WAIT54/100
Clayton$360K-1.7%+2.6% -2.8%WAIT54/100
Statesville$298K+2.5%+5.1% -1.4%WAIT54/100
Asheboro$243K+1.8%+4.5% -0.3%WAIT54/100
Waxhaw$710K-0.2%+4.5% -1.7%WAIT54/100
Washington$245K+1.2%+6.5% -0.5%WAIT54/100
Sanford$289K+0.1%+6.1% -2.2%WAIT53/100
Morganton$261K+1.1%+5.2% -1.5%WAIT53/100
Lenoir$213K+0.2%+4.7% -2.2%WAIT53/100
Marion$239K-3.2%+2.3% -2.3%WAIT53/100
Clinton$161K+1.3%+4.7% +0.3%WAIT53/100
Lexington$274K+3.5%+6.1% -0.2%WAIT52/100
Thomasville$239K+1.7%+5.3% -1.0%WAIT52/100
Taylorsville$272K+7.7%+5.9% +0.9%ACCUMULATE52/100
Angier$330K-1.3%+3.8% -3.1%WAIT52/100
Havelock$236K+2.5%+7.4% -0.1%ACCUMULATE52/100
Mebane$350K-1.1%+4.2% -2.3%WAIT51/100
Dunn$228K+1.8%+6.0% -1.9%WAIT51/100
Fletcher$448K-3.1%+3.1% -2.7%WAIT51/100
Fayetteville$225K+0.3%+6.1% -2.0%WAIT50/100
Smithfield$290K-0.5%+3.7% -3.4%WAIT50/100
Cameron$322K+0.2%+5.5% -1.9%WAIT50/100
Wilson$217K-1.1%+5.7% -2.8%WAIT49/100
Roanoke Rapids$133K+2.6%+4.3% -0.5%WAIT49/100
Henderson$178K-1.0%+2.5% -3.2%WAIT48/100
Hope Mills$263K+0.5%+5.8% -1.6%WAIT48/100
Oxford$251K-0.8%+3.7% -2.8%WAIT48/100
Burlington$254K+0.7%+5.6% -2.6%WAIT47/100
Graham$291K+0.8%+6.1% -2.8%WAIT47/100
Roxboro$220K+4.3%+3.7% -1.1%WAIT47/100
Hendersonville$407K-1.7%+3.4% -3.3%WAIT46/100
Rockingham$135K+3.5%+4.1% -1.1%WAIT46/100
Lillington$289K+0.7%+5.2% -2.9%WAIT45/100
Kinston$147K+3.2%+7.6% -2.4%WAIT44/100
Goldsboro$193K-0.1%+4.3% -2.8%WAIT43/100
Asheville$448K-5.0%+2.5% -4.3%WAIT42/100
Spring Lake$258K-0.2%+5.3% -3.9%WAIT37/100
Newport$339K+1.4%+4.7% -4.2%WAIT34/100

Frequently asked questions

Is now a good time to buy a home in North Carolina?

As of Aug 2026, our buy-timing signal for North Carolina is WAIT — the model projects prices about -4.5% lower around Feb 2028. Patience is likely to be rewarded; use the time to negotiate and arrange financing. Buy-timing score: 56/100.

Will home prices in North Carolina go down in 2027?

The model projects -1.5% over the next 12 months: about $330K by Aug 2027, with an 80% range of $323K–$337K (today $335K). Forecasts are statistical and can be wrong — rates, supply and local events matter.

What is the average home price in North Carolina?

The typical (mid-tier) home value in North Carolina is $335K as of Aug 2026, -0.2% year over year.

What is the cheapest time of year to buy in North Carolina?

Historically, prices in North Carolina run lowest in February, about 1.4% below the annual average, and highest in July.

Which areas in North Carolina have the best buy-timing right now?

Highest buy-timing scores: Wilmington (67/100, ACCUMULATE), Hampstead (66/100, ACCUMULATE) and Harrisburg (66/100, ACCUMULATE). Fastest-rising prices: Taylorsville (+7.7%), Roxboro (+4.3%) and Richlands (+4.3%).

Other states

Source & method

Data: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) — all homes, mid-tier, raw monthly, monthly, latest Aug 2026. Page regenerated 2026-10-08 22:04 PDT. Signals combine valuation vs the long-run trend, momentum and a damped-trend forecast with seasonal adjustment; the “best price window” is the lowest point of the projected path. BUY = prices projected to rise and not stretched; ACCUMULATE = near fair value; WAIT = a dip is projected; HOT = running well ahead of trend; CAUTION = stretched with fading momentum.

Housing forecasts are statistical projections with wide uncertainty; local factors (interest rates, supply, school districts, micro-location) can dominate. Not real-estate, mortgage or investment advice.