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🏘️ Housing market · data to Aug 2026

Is now a good time to buy a home in Durham, NC?

The typical home value in Durham, NC is $389K as of Aug 2026 (Zillow Home Value Index), down 3.7% from a year earlier. Over five years prices have compounded at +2.9% a year and sit 6.1% below their peak. Prices are 19.7% below their 10-year trend line.

$389K
Typical home value
-3.7%
1-year change
-1.8%
12-month outlook
60/100
Buy-timing score
WAIT
WAIT — the model projects prices about -4.8% lower around Feb 2028. Patience is likely to be rewarded; use the time to negotiate and arrange financing.
Best price windowFeb 2028model estimate

Durham, NC price trend & forecast

-1.2%
3-year CAGR
+2.9%
5-year CAGR
-6.1%
From peak
-19.7%
vs 10-yr trend
-2.9%
Momentum (annualised)
$193K$251K$310K$368K$426KBest entrySep 2016Aug 2026Aug 2028
Solid line: Zillow typical home value, monthly. Dashed: model forecast with 80% band. Green dot: projected best entry.

Explore on the interactive heat map →

Frequently asked questions

Is now a good time to buy a home in Durham, NC?

As of Aug 2026, our buy-timing signal for Durham, NC is WAIT — the model projects prices about -4.8% lower around Feb 2028. Patience is likely to be rewarded; use the time to negotiate and arrange financing. Buy-timing score: 60/100.

Will home prices in Durham, NC go down in 2027?

The model projects -1.8% over the next 12 months: about $381K by Aug 2027, with an 80% range of $372K–$391K (today $389K). Forecasts are statistical and can be wrong — rates, supply and local events matter.

What is the average home price in Durham, NC?

The typical (mid-tier) home value in Durham, NC is $389K as of Aug 2026, -3.7% year over year.

What is the cheapest time of year to buy in Durham, NC?

Historically, prices in Durham, NC run lowest in February, about 1.6% below the annual average, and highest in July.

Other cities in North Carolina

Source & method

Data: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) — all homes, mid-tier, raw monthly, monthly, latest Aug 2026. Page regenerated 2026-10-08 22:04 PDT. Signals combine valuation vs the long-run trend, momentum and a damped-trend forecast with seasonal adjustment; the “best price window” is the lowest point of the projected path. BUY = prices projected to rise and not stretched; ACCUMULATE = near fair value; WAIT = a dip is projected; HOT = running well ahead of trend; CAUTION = stretched with fading momentum.

Housing forecasts are statistical projections with wide uncertainty; local factors (interest rates, supply, school districts, micro-location) can dominate. Not real-estate, mortgage or investment advice.