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🏘️ Housing market · data to Aug 2026

Is now a good time to buy a home in South Dakota?

The typical home value in South Dakota is $322K as of Aug 2026 (Zillow Home Value Index), up 2.3% from a year earlier. Over five years prices have compounded at +4.2% a year. Prices are 9.1% below their 10-year trend line.

$322K
Typical home value
+2.3%
1-year change
-0.3%
12-month outlook
52/100
Buy-timing score
WAIT
WAIT — the model projects prices about -3.8% lower around Feb 2028. Patience is likely to be rewarded; use the time to negotiate and arrange financing.
Best price windowFeb 2028model estimate

South Dakota price trend & forecast

+2.2%
3-year CAGR
+4.2%
5-year CAGR
-0.0%
From peak
-9.1%
vs 10-yr trend
+5.0%
Momentum (annualised)
$173K$214K$256K$298K$339KBest entrySep 2016Aug 2026Aug 2028
Solid line: Zillow typical home value, monthly. Dashed: model forecast with 80% band. Green dot: projected best entry.

Explore on the interactive heat map →

Cities in South Dakota ranked by buy-timing score

CityTypical value1Y change5Y CAGR12M outlookSignalBuy-timing
Sioux Falls$333K+1.1%+3.9% -0.4%WAIT54/100
Brookings$327K+5.2%+5.1% +2.8%ACCUMULATE54/100
Watertown$316K+4.9%+3.9% +0.5%WAIT49/100
Yankton$277K+1.9%+3.3% -0.1%WAIT48/100
Aberdeen$245K+5.2%+4.6% +0.8%WAIT46/100
Mitchell$254K+1.2%+4.5% -0.6%WAIT44/100

Frequently asked questions

Is now a good time to buy a home in South Dakota?

As of Aug 2026, our buy-timing signal for South Dakota is WAIT — the model projects prices about -3.8% lower around Feb 2028. Patience is likely to be rewarded; use the time to negotiate and arrange financing. Buy-timing score: 52/100.

Will home prices in South Dakota go down in 2027?

The model projects -0.3% over the next 12 months: about $321K by Aug 2027, with an 80% range of $315K–$328K (today $322K). Forecasts are statistical and can be wrong — rates, supply and local events matter.

What is the average home price in South Dakota?

The typical (mid-tier) home value in South Dakota is $322K as of Aug 2026, +2.3% year over year.

What is the cheapest time of year to buy in South Dakota?

Historically, prices in South Dakota run lowest in February, about 1.9% below the annual average, and highest in July.

Which areas in South Dakota have the best buy-timing right now?

Highest buy-timing scores: Sioux Falls (54/100, WAIT), Brookings (54/100, ACCUMULATE) and Watertown (49/100, WAIT). Fastest-rising prices: Aberdeen (+5.2%), Brookings (+5.2%) and Watertown (+4.9%).

Other states

Source & method

Data: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) — all homes, mid-tier, raw monthly, monthly, latest Aug 2026. Page regenerated 2026-10-08 22:04 PDT. Signals combine valuation vs the long-run trend, momentum and a damped-trend forecast with seasonal adjustment; the “best price window” is the lowest point of the projected path. BUY = prices projected to rise and not stretched; ACCUMULATE = near fair value; WAIT = a dip is projected; HOT = running well ahead of trend; CAUTION = stretched with fading momentum.

Housing forecasts are statistical projections with wide uncertainty; local factors (interest rates, supply, school districts, micro-location) can dominate. Not real-estate, mortgage or investment advice.