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🏘️ Housing market · data to Aug 2026

Is now a good time to buy a home in Frederick, MD?

The typical home value in Frederick, MD is $459K as of Aug 2026 (Zillow Home Value Index), down 1.1% from a year earlier. Over five years prices have compounded at +3.1% a year. Prices are 9.6% below their 10-year trend line.

$459K
Typical home value
-1.1%
1-year change
-1.3%
12-month outlook
51/100
Buy-timing score
WAIT
WAIT — the model projects prices about -3.5% lower around Feb 2028. Patience is likely to be rewarded; use the time to negotiate and arrange financing.
Best price windowFeb 2028model estimate

Frederick, MD price trend & forecast

+1.1%
3-year CAGR
+3.1%
5-year CAGR
-1.6%
From peak
-9.6%
vs 10-yr trend
-1.7%
Momentum (annualised)
$284K$332K$381K$429K$477KBest entrySep 2016Aug 2026Aug 2028
Solid line: Zillow typical home value, monthly. Dashed: model forecast with 80% band. Green dot: projected best entry.

Explore on the interactive heat map →

Frequently asked questions

Is now a good time to buy a home in Frederick, MD?

As of Aug 2026, our buy-timing signal for Frederick, MD is WAIT — the model projects prices about -3.5% lower around Feb 2028. Patience is likely to be rewarded; use the time to negotiate and arrange financing. Buy-timing score: 51/100.

Will home prices in Frederick, MD go down in 2027?

The model projects -1.3% over the next 12 months: about $454K by Aug 2027, with an 80% range of $446K–$461K (today $459K). Forecasts are statistical and can be wrong — rates, supply and local events matter.

What is the average home price in Frederick, MD?

The typical (mid-tier) home value in Frederick, MD is $459K as of Aug 2026, -1.1% year over year.

What is the cheapest time of year to buy in Frederick, MD?

Historically, prices in Frederick, MD run lowest in February, about 1.2% below the annual average, and highest in July.

Other cities in Maryland

Source & method

Data: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) — all homes, mid-tier, raw monthly, monthly, latest Aug 2026. Page regenerated 2026-10-08 22:04 PDT. Signals combine valuation vs the long-run trend, momentum and a damped-trend forecast with seasonal adjustment; the “best price window” is the lowest point of the projected path. BUY = prices projected to rise and not stretched; ACCUMULATE = near fair value; WAIT = a dip is projected; HOT = running well ahead of trend; CAUTION = stretched with fading momentum.

Housing forecasts are statistical projections with wide uncertainty; local factors (interest rates, supply, school districts, micro-location) can dominate. Not real-estate, mortgage or investment advice.