Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Limited — financial distress indicators
Financial-health summary
Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Limited's reported numbers place it in the 'Very weak' financial-health band (distress score 95/100). The main indicators are liabilities exceed assets (negative equity), operating profit does not cover interest and market-implied default probability >20%. Independently, the Ohlson accounting model puts its 1-year failure probability at 100% and the market-implied (Merton) default probability is 70.9%. In its favour: operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months.
Stress by dimension
Share price — last 12 months
Indicators behind the score
Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.
Total liabilities are 15.90× total assets.
Balance-sheet insolvency test: debts exceeding the fair value of assets is the statutory definition of net-worth erosion; under the Companies Act 2013 it is a recognised sign of financial sickness.
Interest coverage (EBIT / interest) is 0.35×.
When EBIT < interest, debt service is funded from cash reserves or new borrowing — the classic precursor to payment default and covenant breach.
Merton distance-to-default -0.55 σ → PD 71%.
Structural (Merton/KMV) model: equity is a call option on assets; low distance-to-default means assets are close to the default point.
Current ratio is 0.01 (current assets cover 1% of near-term obligations).
Cash-flow insolvency test: inability to pay debts as they fall due is the trigger for both U.S. involuntary petitions and Indian IBC default.
Net income negative in 3 of 3 fiscal years.
Persistent losses erode equity and the capacity to absorb shocks.
Total debt is 14.7× EBITDA.
Debt above ~6× EBITDA is deep sub-investment-grade territory; refinancing becomes difficult when rates or earnings move against the company.
O-score 30.00 → model probability 100%.
Ohlson (1980) logit model of 1-year corporate failure; O > 0 (p > 50%) is the original failure cut-off.
Short-term debt is 415.3× cash on hand.
Maturity wall: debt due within a year must be refinanced, which is the most common proximate cause of filings.
Revenue vs net income
Cash generation
Debt vs cash vs equity
✅ Mitigating factors
- Operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months.
- High insider/promoter ownership (74%) aligns management with survival.
📰 Recent news scan
- Tata Teleservices (maharashtra) Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy TTML.NS? - StockInvest.usGoogle News · 2026-10-01
- Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Limited (TTML.NS) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo! Finance CanadaGoogle News · 2026-10-01
- Why are Tata group stocks falling today? TTML, Tata Chem, TMPV dip up to 5% - Business StandardGoogle News · 2026-09-29
- Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Ltd (NSE: TTML) Declines 5.44% as Stock Draws Market Attention - Kalkine IndiaGoogle News · 2026-09-29
- STOCKS IN ACTION: TTML, Tata Technologies, Groww, Fortis, Suven Life Sciences and others - MarketSmith IndiaGoogle News · 2026-06-05
⚖️ Indian legal pathway — the IBC, 2016
How insolvency starts
- A financial creditor (§7), an operational creditor after a demand notice (§§8–9) or the company itself (§10) can apply to the NCLT once a default of at least ₹1 crore occurs (§4).
- On admission a moratorium (§14) stops suits and recovery; the board is suspended and an insolvency professional runs the company.
- The Committee of Creditors approves a resolution plan with 66% of voting share (§30(4)) within an outer limit of 330 days (§12); otherwise liquidation (§33) under the §53 waterfall — equity ranks last. Defaulting promoters are generally barred from bidding (§29A).
Earlier warning stages
- RBI's Prudential Framework for Resolution of Stressed Assets (7 June 2019): lenders must review a borrower within 30 days of default and implement a resolution plan, or provide more.
- Listed companies must disclose loan defaults to exchanges under SEBI (LODR); a rating downgrade to “D” is a public signal.
- Auditors must report going-concern uncertainty (SA 570 / Ind AS 1).
Frequently asked questions
What do Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Limited's financial-health indicators show?
As of 2026-10-09, Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Limited's public financial data places it in the 'Very weak' band with a distress score of 95/100, driven by liabilities exceed assets (negative equity), operating profit does not cover interest and market-implied default probability >20%. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.
What is Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Limited's financial distress score?
95/100 ('Very weak'). Ohlson O-score 30.0 (model 1-year failure probability 100%). Merton distance-to-default -0.55 σ (model default probability 70.9%).
What works in Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Limited's favour?
Operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months. High insider/promoter ownership (74%) aligns management with survival.
How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?
Under the IBC the Committee of Creditors controls the resolution; the §53 waterfall pays secured creditors and workers first and equity last. In most resolution plans existing shareholders are wiped out or left with a token stake, and the company may be delisted.
Other Telecom & Media companies with distress indicators
- Diligent Media Corporation Limited (DNAMEDIA)Very weak 100/100
- Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Limited (MTNL)Very weak 100/100
- Radaan Mediaworks India Limited (RADAAN)Very weak 100/100
- Reliance Communications Limited (RCOM)Very weak 100/100
- SITI Networks Limited (SITINET)Very weak 100/100
- Tips Films Limited (TIPSFILMS)Very weak 97/100
Methodology
Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.