Tarapur Transformers Limited — financial distress indicators
Financial-health summary
Tarapur Transformers Limited's reported numbers place it in the 'Weak' financial-health band (distress score 50/100). The main indicators are liabilities exceed assets (negative equity), severe working-capital shortfall and ohlson o-score signals likely failure. Independently, the Ohlson accounting model puts its 1-year failure probability at 100%. In its favour: operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months.
Stress by dimension
Share price — last 12 months
Indicators behind the score
Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.
Total liabilities are 1.16× total assets.
Balance-sheet insolvency test: debts exceeding the fair value of assets is the statutory definition of net-worth erosion; under the Companies Act 2013 it is a recognised sign of financial sickness.
Current ratio is 0.57 (current assets cover 57% of near-term obligations).
Cash-flow insolvency test: inability to pay debts as they fall due is the trigger for both U.S. involuntary petitions and Indian IBC default.
O-score 6.01 → model probability 100%.
Ohlson (1980) logit model of 1-year corporate failure; O > 0 (p > 50%) is the original failure cut-off.
Price is -70% from its 52-week high.
For financial firms a share-price run often precedes a deposit or funding run (confidence channel).
Recurring net losses.
Repeated losses are a core input in both Ohlson and Altman failure models.
Revenue vs net income
Cash generation
Debt vs cash vs equity
✅ Mitigating factors
- Operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months.
- High insider/promoter ownership (37%) aligns management with survival.
📰 Recent news scan
- Tarapur Transformers Stock Recovery and Outlook - Kalkine IndiaGoogle News · 2026-10-08
- Tarapur Transformers (TARAPUR.NS) Edges Up 2.84% to ₹11.94, Testing Resistance Near ₹12.54 - Pre-Earnings Momentum - https://www.siam.in/Google News · 2026-10-07
- Tarapur Transformers passes all 4 resolutions at 38th AGM - scanx.tradeGoogle News · 2026-09-29
- Sebi bars Tarapur Transformers, promoters from markets for 5 years in fund diversion case - The Economic TimesGoogle News · 2026-08-31
- Tarapur Transformers Share Price Outlook: Where It Could Be in 3 Years - UnivestGoogle News · 2026-08-03
⚖️ Indian legal pathway — the IBC, 2016
How insolvency starts
- A financial creditor (§7), an operational creditor after a demand notice (§§8–9) or the company itself (§10) can apply to the NCLT once a default of at least ₹1 crore occurs (§4).
- On admission a moratorium (§14) stops suits and recovery; the board is suspended and an insolvency professional runs the company.
- The Committee of Creditors approves a resolution plan with 66% of voting share (§30(4)) within an outer limit of 330 days (§12); otherwise liquidation (§33) under the §53 waterfall — equity ranks last. Defaulting promoters are generally barred from bidding (§29A).
Earlier warning stages
- RBI's Prudential Framework for Resolution of Stressed Assets (7 June 2019): lenders must review a borrower within 30 days of default and implement a resolution plan, or provide more.
- Listed companies must disclose loan defaults to exchanges under SEBI (LODR); a rating downgrade to “D” is a public signal.
- Auditors must report going-concern uncertainty (SA 570 / Ind AS 1).
Frequently asked questions
What do Tarapur Transformers Limited's financial-health indicators show?
As of 2026-10-09, Tarapur Transformers Limited's public financial data places it in the 'Weak' band with a distress score of 50/100, driven by liabilities exceed assets (negative equity), severe working-capital shortfall and ohlson o-score signals likely failure. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.
What is Tarapur Transformers Limited's financial distress score?
50/100 ('Weak'). Ohlson O-score 6.01 (model 1-year failure probability 100%).
What works in Tarapur Transformers Limited's favour?
Operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months. High insider/promoter ownership (37%) aligns management with survival.
How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?
Under the IBC the Committee of Creditors controls the resolution; the §53 waterfall pays secured creditors and workers first and equity last. In most resolution plans existing shareholders are wiped out or left with a token stake, and the company may be delisted.
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Methodology
Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.