Sapphire Foods India Limited — financial distress indicators
Financial-health summary
Sapphire Foods India Limited's reported numbers place it in the 'Watch' financial-health band (distress score 47/100). The main indicators are operating profit does not cover interest, severe working-capital shortfall and ohlson o-score signals likely failure. Independently, the Ohlson accounting model puts its 1-year failure probability at 67% and the market-implied (Merton) default probability is 0.0%. In its favour: operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months.
Stress by dimension
Share price — last 12 months
Indicators behind the score
Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.
Interest coverage (EBIT / interest) is 0.82×.
When EBIT < interest, debt service is funded from cash reserves or new borrowing — the classic precursor to payment default and covenant breach.
Current ratio is 0.63 (current assets cover 63% of near-term obligations).
Cash-flow insolvency test: inability to pay debts as they fall due is the trigger for both U.S. involuntary petitions and Indian IBC default.
O-score 0.72 → model probability 67%.
Ohlson (1980) logit model of 1-year corporate failure; O > 0 (p > 50%) is the original failure cut-off.
Short-term debt is 10.0× cash on hand.
Maturity wall: debt due within a year must be refinanced, which is the most common proximate cause of filings.
1 severe and 0 moderate distress-related headlines in the last 6 months.
Headlines are corroborating evidence only; they are weighted lightly and never drive a flag alone.
Revenue vs net income
Cash generation
Debt vs cash vs equity
✅ Mitigating factors
- Operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months.
📰 Recent news scan
- delistAtlantic Sapphire: takeover offer opens as delisting looms - Salmon BusinessGoogle News · 2026-07-31
- Casio stock gets a 20 piece sapphire G SHOCK launch - AD HOC NEWSGoogle News · 2026-10-08
- Coral HoldCo to take full control of Atlantic Sapphire - WEAREAQUACULTUREGoogle News · 2026-08-04
- SAPPHIRE Forecast — Price Target — Prediction for 2027 - TradingViewGoogle News · 2026-06-25
- SAP’s AI push at Sapphire fails to spark stock rebound - Yahoo FinanceGoogle News · 2026-05-13
- Is Netskope Stock a Buy After Sapphire Ventures Purchased 5.7 Million Shares? - The Motley FoolGoogle News · 2026-05-13
⚖️ Indian legal pathway — the IBC, 2016
How insolvency starts
- A financial creditor (§7), an operational creditor after a demand notice (§§8–9) or the company itself (§10) can apply to the NCLT once a default of at least ₹1 crore occurs (§4).
- On admission a moratorium (§14) stops suits and recovery; the board is suspended and an insolvency professional runs the company.
- The Committee of Creditors approves a resolution plan with 66% of voting share (§30(4)) within an outer limit of 330 days (§12); otherwise liquidation (§33) under the §53 waterfall — equity ranks last. Defaulting promoters are generally barred from bidding (§29A).
Earlier warning stages
- RBI's Prudential Framework for Resolution of Stressed Assets (7 June 2019): lenders must review a borrower within 30 days of default and implement a resolution plan, or provide more.
- Listed companies must disclose loan defaults to exchanges under SEBI (LODR); a rating downgrade to “D” is a public signal.
- Auditors must report going-concern uncertainty (SA 570 / Ind AS 1).
Frequently asked questions
What do Sapphire Foods India Limited's financial-health indicators show?
As of 2026-10-09, Sapphire Foods India Limited's public financial data places it in the 'Watch' band with a distress score of 47/100, driven by operating profit does not cover interest, severe working-capital shortfall and ohlson o-score signals likely failure. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.
What is Sapphire Foods India Limited's financial distress score?
47/100 ('Watch'). Ohlson O-score 0.72 (model 1-year failure probability 67%). Merton distance-to-default 3.5 σ (model default probability 0.0%).
What works in Sapphire Foods India Limited's favour?
Operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months.
How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?
Under the IBC the Committee of Creditors controls the resolution; the §53 waterfall pays secured creditors and workers first and equity last. In most resolution plans existing shareholders are wiped out or left with a token stake, and the company may be delisted.
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Methodology
Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.