Reliance Chemotex Industries Limited — financial distress indicators
Financial-health summary
Reliance Chemotex Industries Limited's reported numbers place it in the 'Watch' financial-health band (distress score 35/100). The main indicators are market-implied default probability >20%, thin interest coverage and very high leverage. Independently, the Ohlson accounting model puts its 1-year failure probability at 87% and the market-implied (Merton) default probability is 39.0%. In its favour: operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months.
Stress by dimension
Share price — last 12 months
Indicators behind the score
Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.
Merton distance-to-default 0.28 σ → PD 39%.
Structural (Merton/KMV) model: equity is a call option on assets; low distance-to-default means assets are close to the default point.
Interest coverage is only 1.04× (lenders typically require ≥ 2–3×).
Low coverage leaves little buffer against a profit dip before a debt-service or covenant breach.
Total debt is 6.0× EBITDA.
Debt above ~6× EBITDA is deep sub-investment-grade territory; refinancing becomes difficult when rates or earnings move against the company.
Revenue vs net income
Cash generation
Debt vs cash vs equity
✅ Mitigating factors
- Operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months.
- High insider/promoter ownership (73%) aligns management with survival.
📰 Recent news scan
- Reliance Chemotex Industries Slips 2.74% as RELCHEMQ.NS Tests Support Near ₹107 - Stock Surge Alerts - https://www.siam.in/Google News · 2026-10-05
- SHEKHAWATI Stock Price and Chart — NSE:SHEKHAWATI - TradingViewGoogle News · 2026-09-29
- Reliance Chemotex Industries Limited Approves Declaration of Final Dividend for the Financial Year Ended on March 31, 2026 - marketscreener.comGoogle News · 2026-09-24
- Reliance Chemotex Share Price and Technical View - Kalkine IndiaGoogle News · 2026-09-15
- Reliance Chemotex Industries Limited (NSE:RELCHEMQ) Goes Ex-Dividend Soon - Simply Wall StreetGoogle News · 2026-09-14
- Reliance Chemotex Industries Share Price Target 2026: Bull Case R - UnivestGoogle News · 2026-07-02
⚖️ Indian legal pathway — the IBC, 2016
How insolvency starts
- A financial creditor (§7), an operational creditor after a demand notice (§§8–9) or the company itself (§10) can apply to the NCLT once a default of at least ₹1 crore occurs (§4).
- On admission a moratorium (§14) stops suits and recovery; the board is suspended and an insolvency professional runs the company.
- The Committee of Creditors approves a resolution plan with 66% of voting share (§30(4)) within an outer limit of 330 days (§12); otherwise liquidation (§33) under the §53 waterfall — equity ranks last. Defaulting promoters are generally barred from bidding (§29A).
Earlier warning stages
- RBI's Prudential Framework for Resolution of Stressed Assets (7 June 2019): lenders must review a borrower within 30 days of default and implement a resolution plan, or provide more.
- Listed companies must disclose loan defaults to exchanges under SEBI (LODR); a rating downgrade to “D” is a public signal.
- Auditors must report going-concern uncertainty (SA 570 / Ind AS 1).
Frequently asked questions
What do Reliance Chemotex Industries Limited's financial-health indicators show?
As of 2026-10-09, Reliance Chemotex Industries Limited's public financial data places it in the 'Watch' band with a distress score of 35/100, driven by market-implied default probability >20%, thin interest coverage and very high leverage. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.
What is Reliance Chemotex Industries Limited's financial distress score?
35/100 ('Watch'). Ohlson O-score 1.94 (model 1-year failure probability 87%). Merton distance-to-default 0.28 σ (model default probability 39.0%).
What works in Reliance Chemotex Industries Limited's favour?
Operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months. High insider/promoter ownership (73%) aligns management with survival.
How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?
Under the IBC the Committee of Creditors controls the resolution; the §53 waterfall pays secured creditors and workers first and equity last. In most resolution plans existing shareholders are wiped out or left with a token stake, and the company may be delisted.
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Methodology
Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.