Kavveri Defence & Wireless Technologies Limited — financial distress indicators
Financial-health summary
Kavveri Defence & Wireless Technologies Limited's reported numbers place it in the 'Watch' financial-health band (distress score 37/100). The main indicators are revenue collapse, ohlson o-score signals likely failure and massive shareholder dilution. Independently, the Ohlson accounting model puts its 1-year failure probability at 81% and the market-implied (Merton) default probability is 0.0%. In its favour: cash on hand covers all debt (net-cash balance sheet).
Stress by dimension
Share price — last 12 months
Indicators behind the score
Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.
Revenue changed -51% year over year.
A >30% sales drop typically breaches leverage covenants and starves fixed-cost coverage.
O-score 1.42 → model probability 81%.
Ohlson (1980) logit model of 1-year corporate failure; O > 0 (p > 50%) is the original failure cut-off.
Share count up +199% in a year.
Survival financing: repeated equity raises at depressed prices.
Operating cash flow negative in 2 of the last 3 years. The company is profitable, so this likely reflects working-capital or loan-book growth.
A business that cannot fund itself from operations depends on external capital to survive.
Revenue vs net income
Cash generation
Debt vs cash vs equity
✅ Mitigating factors
- Cash on hand covers all debt (net-cash balance sheet).
- Strong current ratio (5.67).
- High insider/promoter ownership (75%) aligns management with survival.
📰 Recent news scan
- Kavveri Defence KAVDEFENCE Reg 74(5) Certificate Q2 FY27 - Kalkine IndiaGoogle News · 2026-10-08
- KAVDEFENCE.NS Q2 2026 Earnings: EPS at ₹0.35 as Revenue Halves Year-on-Year - Forward Guidance Trends - https://www.siam.in/Google News · 2026-10-01
- Kavveri Defence & Wireless Technologies Edges Higher: KAVDEFENCE.NS Gains 3.52% to ₹79.6 - Charm Flow - siam.inGoogle News · 2026-09-30
- Kavveri Defence Share Price Today: Sector and Peer View - UnivestGoogle News · 2026-09-15
⚖️ Indian legal pathway — the IBC, 2016
How insolvency starts
- A financial creditor (§7), an operational creditor after a demand notice (§§8–9) or the company itself (§10) can apply to the NCLT once a default of at least ₹1 crore occurs (§4).
- On admission a moratorium (§14) stops suits and recovery; the board is suspended and an insolvency professional runs the company.
- The Committee of Creditors approves a resolution plan with 66% of voting share (§30(4)) within an outer limit of 330 days (§12); otherwise liquidation (§33) under the §53 waterfall — equity ranks last. Defaulting promoters are generally barred from bidding (§29A).
Earlier warning stages
- RBI's Prudential Framework for Resolution of Stressed Assets (7 June 2019): lenders must review a borrower within 30 days of default and implement a resolution plan, or provide more.
- Listed companies must disclose loan defaults to exchanges under SEBI (LODR); a rating downgrade to “D” is a public signal.
- Auditors must report going-concern uncertainty (SA 570 / Ind AS 1).
Frequently asked questions
What do Kavveri Defence & Wireless Technologies Limited's financial-health indicators show?
As of 2026-10-09, Kavveri Defence & Wireless Technologies Limited's public financial data places it in the 'Watch' band with a distress score of 37/100, driven by revenue collapse, ohlson o-score signals likely failure and massive shareholder dilution. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.
What is Kavveri Defence & Wireless Technologies Limited's financial distress score?
37/100 ('Watch'). Ohlson O-score 1.42 (model 1-year failure probability 81%). Merton distance-to-default 8.41 σ (model default probability 0.0%).
What works in Kavveri Defence & Wireless Technologies Limited's favour?
Cash on hand covers all debt (net-cash balance sheet). Strong current ratio (5.67). High insider/promoter ownership (75%) aligns management with survival.
How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?
Under the IBC the Committee of Creditors controls the resolution; the §53 waterfall pays secured creditors and workers first and equity last. In most resolution plans existing shareholders are wiped out or left with a token stake, and the company may be delisted.
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Methodology
Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.