Celebrity Fashions Limited — financial distress indicators
Financial-health summary
Celebrity Fashions Limited's reported numbers place it in the 'Weak' financial-health band (distress score 52/100). The main indicators are market-implied default probability >20%, ohlson o-score signals likely failure and current liabilities exceed current assets. Independently, the Ohlson accounting model puts its 1-year failure probability at 98% and the market-implied (Merton) default probability is 50.2%. In its favour: operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months.
Stress by dimension
Share price — last 12 months
Indicators behind the score
Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.
Merton distance-to-default -0.00 σ → PD 50%.
Structural (Merton/KMV) model: equity is a call option on assets; low distance-to-default means assets are close to the default point.
O-score 4.02 → model probability 98%.
Ohlson (1980) logit model of 1-year corporate failure; O > 0 (p > 50%) is the original failure cut-off.
Current ratio is 0.97.
Short-term obligations exceed short-term resources — the company relies on rolling over credit.
Recurring net losses.
Repeated losses are a core input in both Ohlson and Altman failure models.
Short-term debt is 1.7× cash on hand.
Maturity wall: debt due within a year must be refinanced, which is the most common proximate cause of filings.
Operating margin fell from 4% to -7% in two years.
Sharp margin compression signals loss of pricing power or cost control.
Revenue vs net income
Cash generation
Debt vs cash vs equity
✅ Mitigating factors
- Operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months.
- High insider/promoter ownership (56%) aligns management with survival.
📰 Recent news scan
- In December 2001, Martha Stewart Sold A Stock While Flying On Her Private Jet. That Trade Saved Her $45,673... And Cost Her $1 Billion - Celebrity Net WorthGoogle News · 2026-10-08
- I’ve Found The Exact Coat Claudia Winkleman Wears Tonight On The Celebrity Traitors – It’s Still In Stock - Grazia Daily UKGoogle News · 2026-10-01
- Celebrity Reflection gets 13 new venues in Caribbean ship overhaul - Stock TitanGoogle News · 2026-07-09
- 10-member alleged stock rigging group included celebrities, financial experts - The Korea HeraldGoogle News · 2026-05-08
- Celebrity Cruises Shareholder Benefits Explained - Cruise MummyGoogle News · 2026-04-27
⚖️ Indian legal pathway — the IBC, 2016
How insolvency starts
- A financial creditor (§7), an operational creditor after a demand notice (§§8–9) or the company itself (§10) can apply to the NCLT once a default of at least ₹1 crore occurs (§4).
- On admission a moratorium (§14) stops suits and recovery; the board is suspended and an insolvency professional runs the company.
- The Committee of Creditors approves a resolution plan with 66% of voting share (§30(4)) within an outer limit of 330 days (§12); otherwise liquidation (§33) under the §53 waterfall — equity ranks last. Defaulting promoters are generally barred from bidding (§29A).
Earlier warning stages
- RBI's Prudential Framework for Resolution of Stressed Assets (7 June 2019): lenders must review a borrower within 30 days of default and implement a resolution plan, or provide more.
- Listed companies must disclose loan defaults to exchanges under SEBI (LODR); a rating downgrade to “D” is a public signal.
- Auditors must report going-concern uncertainty (SA 570 / Ind AS 1).
Frequently asked questions
What do Celebrity Fashions Limited's financial-health indicators show?
As of 2026-10-09, Celebrity Fashions Limited's public financial data places it in the 'Weak' band with a distress score of 52/100, driven by market-implied default probability >20%, ohlson o-score signals likely failure and current liabilities exceed current assets. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.
What is Celebrity Fashions Limited's financial distress score?
52/100 ('Weak'). Ohlson O-score 4.02 (model 1-year failure probability 98%). Merton distance-to-default -0.0 σ (model default probability 50.2%).
What works in Celebrity Fashions Limited's favour?
Operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months. High insider/promoter ownership (56%) aligns management with survival.
How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?
Under the IBC the Committee of Creditors controls the resolution; the §53 waterfall pays secured creditors and workers first and equity last. In most resolution plans existing shareholders are wiped out or left with a token stake, and the company may be delisted.
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Methodology
Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.