Asian Hotels (North) Limited — financial distress indicators
Financial-health summary
Asian Hotels (North) Limited's reported numbers place it in the 'Weak' financial-health band (distress score 68/100). The main indicators are operating profit does not cover interest, severe working-capital shortfall and ohlson o-score signals likely failure. Independently, the Ohlson accounting model puts its 1-year failure probability at 79% and the market-implied (Merton) default probability is 0.0%. In its favour: high insider/promoter ownership (89%) aligns management with survival.
Stress by dimension
Share price — last 12 months
Indicators behind the score
Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.
Interest coverage (EBIT / interest) is 0.38×.
When EBIT < interest, debt service is funded from cash reserves or new borrowing — the classic precursor to payment default and covenant breach.
Current ratio is 0.60 (current assets cover 60% of near-term obligations).
Cash-flow insolvency test: inability to pay debts as they fall due is the trigger for both U.S. involuntary petitions and Indian IBC default.
O-score 1.31 → model probability 79%.
Ohlson (1980) logit model of 1-year corporate failure; O > 0 (p > 50%) is the original failure cut-off.
Share count up +119% in a year.
Survival financing: repeated equity raises at depressed prices.
Cash covers ~14 months of free-cash-flow burn.
Funding needs within two years make the company dependent on capital-market access.
Recurring net losses.
Repeated losses are a core input in both Ohlson and Altman failure models.
Operating margin fell from 21% to 8% in two years.
Sharp margin compression signals loss of pricing power or cost control.
Revenue vs net income
Cash generation
Debt vs cash vs equity
✅ Mitigating factors
- High insider/promoter ownership (89%) aligns management with survival.
📰 Recent news scan
- Asian Hotels (North) Ltd. Share Price Rise and Valuation - UnivestGoogle News · 2026-08-31
- Why Is Asian Hotels North Share Price Falling: Key Reasons and Investor Analysis 2026 - UnivestGoogle News · 2026-05-14
⚖️ Indian legal pathway — the IBC, 2016
How insolvency starts
- A financial creditor (§7), an operational creditor after a demand notice (§§8–9) or the company itself (§10) can apply to the NCLT once a default of at least ₹1 crore occurs (§4).
- On admission a moratorium (§14) stops suits and recovery; the board is suspended and an insolvency professional runs the company.
- The Committee of Creditors approves a resolution plan with 66% of voting share (§30(4)) within an outer limit of 330 days (§12); otherwise liquidation (§33) under the §53 waterfall — equity ranks last. Defaulting promoters are generally barred from bidding (§29A).
Earlier warning stages
- RBI's Prudential Framework for Resolution of Stressed Assets (7 June 2019): lenders must review a borrower within 30 days of default and implement a resolution plan, or provide more.
- Listed companies must disclose loan defaults to exchanges under SEBI (LODR); a rating downgrade to “D” is a public signal.
- Auditors must report going-concern uncertainty (SA 570 / Ind AS 1).
Frequently asked questions
What do Asian Hotels (North) Limited's financial-health indicators show?
As of 2026-10-09, Asian Hotels (North) Limited's public financial data places it in the 'Weak' band with a distress score of 68/100, driven by operating profit does not cover interest, severe working-capital shortfall and ohlson o-score signals likely failure. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.
What is Asian Hotels (North) Limited's financial distress score?
68/100 ('Weak'). Ohlson O-score 1.31 (model 1-year failure probability 79%). Merton distance-to-default 4.75 σ (model default probability 0.0%).
What works in Asian Hotels (North) Limited's favour?
High insider/promoter ownership (89%) aligns management with survival.
How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?
Under the IBC the Committee of Creditors controls the resolution; the §53 waterfall pays secured creditors and workers first and equity last. In most resolution plans existing shareholders are wiped out or left with a token stake, and the company may be delisted.
Other Consumer Discretionary companies with distress indicators
- Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (BALKRISHNA)Very weak 100/100
- CLC Industries Limited (CLCIND)Very weak 100/100
- Flexituff Ventures International Limited (FLEXITUFF)Very weak 100/100
- Praxis Home Retail Limited (PRAXIS)Very weak 100/100
- SEL Manufacturing Company Limited (SELMC)Very weak 100/100
- Spencer's Retail Limited (SPENCERS)Very weak 100/100
All Consumer Discretionary companies with distress indicators →
Methodology
Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.