Wallbox N.V. — financial distress indicators
Financial-health summary
Wallbox N.V.'s reported numbers place it in the 'Very weak' financial-health band (distress score 100/100). The main indicators are liabilities exceed assets (negative equity), operating profit does not cover interest and market-implied default probability >20%. Independently, the Ohlson accounting model puts its 1-year failure probability at 98% and the market-implied (Merton) default probability is 65.4%. In its favour: operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months.
Stress by dimension
Share price — last 12 months
Indicators behind the score
Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.
Total liabilities are 1.13× total assets.
Balance-sheet insolvency test: debts exceeding the fair value of assets is the statutory definition of 'insolvent' in 11 U.S.C. §101(32).
Interest coverage (EBIT / interest) is -3.77×.
When EBIT < interest, debt service is funded from cash reserves or new borrowing — the classic precursor to payment default and covenant breach.
Merton distance-to-default -0.40 σ → PD 65%.
Structural (Merton/KMV) model: equity is a call option on assets; low distance-to-default means assets are close to the default point.
Current ratio is 0.57 (current assets cover 57% of near-term obligations).
Cash-flow insolvency test: inability to pay debts as they fall due is the trigger for both U.S. involuntary petitions and Indian IBC default.
Net income negative in 3 of 3 fiscal years.
Persistent losses erode equity and the capacity to absorb shocks.
Debt is 83% of assets while EBITDA is not positive.
With no operating earnings, repayment depends entirely on asset sales or fresh capital.
Operating cash flow negative in 2 of the last 3 years.
A business that cannot fund itself from operations depends on external capital to survive.
O-score 3.99 → model probability 98%.
Ohlson (1980) logit model of 1-year corporate failure; O > 0 (p > 50%) is the original failure cut-off.
Short-term debt is 32.2× cash on hand.
Maturity wall: debt due within a year must be refinanced, which is the most common proximate cause of filings.
Price is -62% from its 52-week high.
For financial firms a share-price run often precedes a deposit or funding run (confidence channel).
Share count up +39% in a year.
Large issuance usually funds operating losses rather than growth.
Revenue vs net income
Cash generation
Debt vs cash vs equity
✅ Mitigating factors
- Operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months.
- High insider/promoter ownership (73%) aligns management with survival.
📰 Recent news scan
- Wallbox N.V. (WBX) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo! Finance CanadaGoogle News · 2026-10-08
- Over 600,000 chargers have been sold worldwide. Wallbox’s new model helps shared homes manage users. - Stock TitanGoogle News · 2026-10-08
- Insider Stock Buying Reaches €2.25m On Wallbox - Simply Wall StreetGoogle News · 2026-10-02
- EV drivers will be able to link compatible Wallbox chargers to energy apps where available - Stock TitanGoogle News · 2026-10-01
- $WBX stock is up 32% today. Here's what we see in our data. - Quiver QuantitativeGoogle News · 2026-07-06
- Monday's session: gap up and gap down stocks - ChartMillGoogle News · 2026-07-06
⚖️ U.S. legal pathway — Title 11, U.S. Code
Which chapter would apply?
- Chapter 11 — reorganisation. Management usually stays in control as debtor-in-possession; the automatic stay (§362) halts collection; a plan must meet the best-interests test (§1129(a)(7)) and the absolute priority rule (§1129(b)) — creditors are paid before shareholders, who are frequently wiped out.
- Chapter 7 — liquidation. A trustee sells assets and distributes proceeds by statutory priority (§§507, 726).
- Subchapter V (“Chapter 5”) is a fast track for small-business debtors under a statutory debt cap, but SEC-reporting companies are excluded (§101(51D)) — so it rarely applies to listed companies.
What typically triggers a filing
- Payment default or covenant breach lenders will not waive; a debt maturity that cannot be refinanced.
- Auditor going-concern doubt (ASC 205-40 / PCAOB AS 2415) — often itself a default trigger in loan agreements.
- Creditors can force a case with an involuntary petition (§303) if debts are not paid as they come due.
- Delisting after sustained sub-$1 prices or equity deficits cuts off equity funding.
Transactions shortly before filing can be clawed back (preferences — 90 days, §547; fraudulent transfers — 2 years, §548).
Frequently asked questions
What do Wallbox N.V.'s financial-health indicators show?
As of 2026-10-08, Wallbox N.V.'s public financial data places it in the 'Very weak' band with a distress score of 100/100, driven by liabilities exceed assets (negative equity), operating profit does not cover interest and market-implied default probability >20%. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.
What is Wallbox N.V.'s financial distress score?
100/100 ('Very weak'). Ohlson O-score 3.99 (model 1-year failure probability 98%). Merton distance-to-default -0.4 σ (model default probability 65.4%).
What works in Wallbox N.V.'s favour?
Operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months. High insider/promoter ownership (73%) aligns management with survival.
How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?
In a Chapter 11 reorganisation the absolute priority rule pays secured lenders, then unsecured creditors, before shareholders — so existing shares are usually cancelled or heavily diluted. In Chapter 7 the company is liquidated and shareholders rarely recover anything.
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Methodology
Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.