Toppoint Holdings Inc. — financial distress indicators
Financial-health summary
Toppoint Holdings Inc.'s reported numbers place it in the 'Weak' financial-health band (distress score 50/100). The main indicators are market-implied default probability >20%, operations consume cash and share price down >80% from 52-week high. Independently, the Ohlson accounting model puts its 1-year failure probability at 95% and the market-implied (Merton) default probability is 58.4%. In its favour: cash on hand covers all debt (net-cash balance sheet).
Stress by dimension
Share price — last 12 months
Indicators behind the score
Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.
Merton distance-to-default -0.21 σ → PD 58%.
Structural (Merton/KMV) model: equity is a call option on assets; low distance-to-default means assets are close to the default point.
Operating cash flow negative in 2 of the last 3 years.
A business that cannot fund itself from operations depends on external capital to survive.
Price is -93% from its 52-week high.
Equity markets price distress early; collapses of this size usually reflect fear of wipe-out in a restructuring.
O-score 2.91 → model probability 95%.
Ohlson (1980) logit model of 1-year corporate failure; O > 0 (p > 50%) is the original failure cut-off.
Last price $0.18.
Below the $1 minimum-bid listing standard (Nasdaq Rule 5550(a)(2) / NYSE 802.01C); sustained breach leads to delisting and loss of capital-market access.
Operating margin fell from 4% to -45% in two years.
Sharp margin compression signals loss of pricing power or cost control.
Revenue vs net income
Cash generation
Debt vs cash vs equity
✅ Mitigating factors
- Cash on hand covers all debt (net-cash balance sheet).
- Strong current ratio (3.19).
- High insider/promoter ownership (53%) aligns management with survival.
📰 Recent news scan
- Toppoint Holdings Inc. Comments on Unusual Trading ActivityYahoo Finance · 2026-10-07
- Toppoint Holdings Inc. Announces Anticipated Reincorporation from Nevada to DelawareYahoo Finance · 2026-09-14
- Toppoint Holdings Announces Postponement of 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders to September 8, 2026Yahoo Finance · 2026-08-21
- Toppoint Q2 Net Loss Narrows 80% Y/Y, Revenues Climb 17%Yahoo Finance · 2026-08-20
- Toppoint Reports Flat Q1 Loss Despite 8% Y/Y Revenue IncreaseYahoo Finance · 2026-05-26
- Toppoint Holdings Inc. Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial ResultsYahoo Finance · 2026-05-14
⚖️ U.S. legal pathway — Title 11, U.S. Code
Which chapter would apply?
- Chapter 11 — reorganisation. Management usually stays in control as debtor-in-possession; the automatic stay (§362) halts collection; a plan must meet the best-interests test (§1129(a)(7)) and the absolute priority rule (§1129(b)) — creditors are paid before shareholders, who are frequently wiped out.
- Chapter 7 — liquidation. A trustee sells assets and distributes proceeds by statutory priority (§§507, 726).
- Subchapter V (“Chapter 5”) is a fast track for small-business debtors under a statutory debt cap, but SEC-reporting companies are excluded (§101(51D)) — so it rarely applies to listed companies.
What typically triggers a filing
- Payment default or covenant breach lenders will not waive; a debt maturity that cannot be refinanced.
- Auditor going-concern doubt (ASC 205-40 / PCAOB AS 2415) — often itself a default trigger in loan agreements.
- Creditors can force a case with an involuntary petition (§303) if debts are not paid as they come due.
- Delisting after sustained sub-$1 prices or equity deficits cuts off equity funding.
Transactions shortly before filing can be clawed back (preferences — 90 days, §547; fraudulent transfers — 2 years, §548).
Frequently asked questions
What do Toppoint Holdings Inc.'s financial-health indicators show?
As of 2026-10-08, Toppoint Holdings Inc.'s public financial data places it in the 'Weak' band with a distress score of 50/100, driven by market-implied default probability >20%, operations consume cash and share price down >80% from 52-week high. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.
What is Toppoint Holdings Inc.'s financial distress score?
50/100 ('Weak'). Ohlson O-score 2.91 (model 1-year failure probability 95%). Merton distance-to-default -0.21 σ (model default probability 58.4%).
What works in Toppoint Holdings Inc.'s favour?
Cash on hand covers all debt (net-cash balance sheet). Strong current ratio (3.19). High insider/promoter ownership (53%) aligns management with survival.
How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?
In a Chapter 11 reorganisation the absolute priority rule pays secured lenders, then unsecured creditors, before shareholders — so existing shares are usually cancelled or heavily diluted. In Chapter 7 the company is liquidated and shareholders rarely recover anything.
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Methodology
Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.