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Financial distress indicators · updated 2026-10-08

Securitize Corp. — financial distress indicators

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TechnologySoftware - Application Mkt cap $2.07BStatements as of Mar 2026 Flows: FY Dec 2025
68WEAK
Distress score / 100
Statistical model output from public data — not an allegation of insolvency or default. Methodology

Financial-health summary

Securitize Corp.'s reported numbers place it in the 'Weak' financial-health band (distress score 68/100). The main indicators are liabilities exceed assets (negative equity), operating profit does not cover interest and material debt with no ebitda. Independently, the Ohlson accounting model puts its 1-year failure probability at 100% and the market-implied (Merton) default probability is 1.9%. In its favour: strong current ratio (2.39).

2.39
Current ratio
-2.11×
Interest cover
—
Debt / EBITDA
30 mo
Cash runway
100%
Ohlson 1-yr PD
1.9%
Merton 1-yr PD
$41.70M
Cash & ST investments
$73.77M
Total debt
-24%
From 52-week high

Stress by dimension

Share price — last 12 months

Indicators behind the score

Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.

Liabilities exceed assets (negative equity)+18
Solvency

Total liabilities are 2.10× total assets.

Balance-sheet insolvency test: debts exceeding the fair value of assets is the statutory definition of 'insolvent' in 11 U.S.C. §101(32).

Operating profit does not cover interest+15
Solvency

Interest coverage (EBIT / interest) is -2.11×.

When EBIT < interest, debt service is funded from cash reserves or new borrowing — the classic precursor to payment default and covenant breach.

Material debt with no EBITDA+10
Solvency

Debt is 55% of assets while EBITDA is not positive.

With no operating earnings, repayment depends entirely on asset sales or fresh capital.

Operations consume cash+10
Cash Flow

Operating cash flow negative in 2 of the last 2 years.

A business that cannot fund itself from operations depends on external capital to survive.

Ohlson O-score signals likely failure+10
Market Signal

O-score 9.34 → model probability 100%.

Ohlson (1980) logit model of 1-year corporate failure; O > 0 (p > 50%) is the original failure cut-off.

Losses in 2 of the last 2 years+8
Profitability

Recurring net losses.

Repeated losses are a core input in both Ohlson and Altman failure models.

Revenue vs net income

Cash generation

Debt vs cash vs equity

✅ Mitigating factors

  • Strong current ratio (2.39).
  • Revenue still growing (+234% YoY).

Frequently asked questions

What do Securitize Corp.'s financial-health indicators show?

As of 2026-10-08, Securitize Corp.'s public financial data places it in the 'Weak' band with a distress score of 68/100, driven by liabilities exceed assets (negative equity), operating profit does not cover interest and material debt with no ebitda. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.

What is Securitize Corp.'s financial distress score?

68/100 ('Weak'). Ohlson O-score 9.34 (model 1-year failure probability 100%). Merton distance-to-default 2.07 σ (model default probability 1.9%).

What works in Securitize Corp.'s favour?

Strong current ratio (2.39). Revenue still growing (+234% YoY).

How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?

In a Chapter 11 reorganisation the absolute priority rule pays secured lenders, then unsecured creditors, before shareholders — so existing shares are usually cancelled or heavily diluted. In Chapter 7 the company is liquidated and shareholders rarely recover anything.

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Methodology

Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.

Not a prediction of default or insolvency. This page summarises statistical risk indicators from public data. It does not allege insolvency, default or wrongdoing, and the company may have resources or plans not reflected here (undrawn credit lines, asset sales, parent support, recent capital raises). Verify with the company’s filings (SEC 10-K/10-Q). Not investment or legal advice.