SAIHEAT Limited — financial distress indicators
Financial-health summary
SAIHEAT Limited's reported numbers place it in the 'Very weak' financial-health band (distress score 70/100). The main indicators are cash runway under 12 months, losses in each of the last 3 years and material debt with no ebitda. Independently, the Ohlson accounting model puts its 1-year failure probability at 99% and the market-implied (Merton) default probability is 0.0%. In its favour: strong current ratio (2.30).
Stress by dimension
Share price — last 12 months
Indicators behind the score
Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.
At the current free-cash-flow burn, cash covers ~7 months.
Going-concern standard: management must assess ability to continue for 12 months (ASC 205-40). Runway below that horizon forces dilution, asset sales or default.
Net income negative in 3 of 3 fiscal years.
Persistent losses erode equity and the capacity to absorb shocks.
Debt is 33% of assets while EBITDA is not positive.
With no operating earnings, repayment depends entirely on asset sales or fresh capital.
Operating cash flow negative in 3 of the last 3 years.
A business that cannot fund itself from operations depends on external capital to survive.
O-score 4.35 → model probability 99%.
Ohlson (1980) logit model of 1-year corporate failure; O > 0 (p > 50%) is the original failure cut-off.
Revenue changed -18% year over year.
Falling sales reduce cash available for debt service.
Revenue declined every year for three years.
Structural, not cyclical, decline.
Revenue vs net income
Cash generation
Debt vs cash vs equity
✅ Mitigating factors
- Strong current ratio (2.30).
📰 Recent news scan
- SAIHEAT agrees merger with Canopy Wave in AI inference pivotYahoo Finance · 2026-08-11
- SAIHEAT Enters into Definitive Merger Agreement with Canopy Wave to Build a Global AI Inference PlatformYahoo Finance · 2026-08-10
- SAIHEAT Expands Business into AI Inference Services, Delivering Tokens of Open Models to EnterprisesYahoo Finance · 2026-06-11
⚖️ U.S. legal pathway — Title 11, U.S. Code
Which chapter would apply?
- Chapter 11 — reorganisation. Management usually stays in control as debtor-in-possession; the automatic stay (§362) halts collection; a plan must meet the best-interests test (§1129(a)(7)) and the absolute priority rule (§1129(b)) — creditors are paid before shareholders, who are frequently wiped out.
- Chapter 7 — liquidation. A trustee sells assets and distributes proceeds by statutory priority (§§507, 726).
- Subchapter V (“Chapter 5”) is a fast track for small-business debtors under a statutory debt cap, but SEC-reporting companies are excluded (§101(51D)) — so it rarely applies to listed companies.
What typically triggers a filing
- Payment default or covenant breach lenders will not waive; a debt maturity that cannot be refinanced.
- Auditor going-concern doubt (ASC 205-40 / PCAOB AS 2415) — often itself a default trigger in loan agreements.
- Creditors can force a case with an involuntary petition (§303) if debts are not paid as they come due.
- Delisting after sustained sub-$1 prices or equity deficits cuts off equity funding.
Transactions shortly before filing can be clawed back (preferences — 90 days, §547; fraudulent transfers — 2 years, §548).
Frequently asked questions
What do SAIHEAT Limited's financial-health indicators show?
As of 2026-10-08, SAIHEAT Limited's public financial data places it in the 'Very weak' band with a distress score of 70/100, driven by cash runway under 12 months, losses in each of the last 3 years and material debt with no ebitda. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.
What is SAIHEAT Limited's financial distress score?
70/100 ('Very weak'). Ohlson O-score 4.35 (model 1-year failure probability 99%). Merton distance-to-default 4.03 σ (model default probability 0.0%).
What works in SAIHEAT Limited's favour?
Strong current ratio (2.30).
How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?
In a Chapter 11 reorganisation the absolute priority rule pays secured lenders, then unsecured creditors, before shareholders — so existing shares are usually cancelled or heavily diluted. In Chapter 7 the company is liquidated and shareholders rarely recover anything.
Other IT & Software companies with distress indicators
- Cyabra, Inc. (CYAB)Very weak 100/100
- Exyn Technologies, Inc. (EXYN)Very weak 100/100
- The OLB Group, Inc. (OLB)Very weak 100/100
- Roadzen, Inc. (RDZN)Very weak 100/100
- Rekor Systems, Inc. (REKR)Very weak 100/100
- Veea Inc. (VEEA)Very weak 100/100
Methodology
Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.