Psyence Biomedical Ltd. — financial distress indicators
Financial-health summary
Psyence Biomedical Ltd.'s reported numbers place it in the 'Weak' financial-health band (distress score 63/100). The main indicators are cash runway under 12 months, operations consume cash and share price down >80% from 52-week high. Independently, the Ohlson accounting model puts its 1-year failure probability at 100%. In its favour: strong current ratio (14.62).
Stress by dimension
Share price — last 12 months
Indicators behind the score
Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.
At the current free-cash-flow burn, cash covers ~10 months.
Going-concern standard: management must assess ability to continue for 12 months (ASC 205-40). Runway below that horizon forces dilution, asset sales or default.
Operating cash flow negative in 3 of the last 3 years.
A business that cannot fund itself from operations depends on external capital to survive.
Price is -97% from its 52-week high.
Equity markets price distress early; collapses of this size usually reflect fear of wipe-out in a restructuring.
O-score 23.14 → model probability 100%.
Ohlson (1980) logit model of 1-year corporate failure; O > 0 (p > 50%) is the original failure cut-off.
Share count up +2423% in a year.
Survival financing: repeated equity raises at depressed prices.
Recurring net losses.
Repeated losses are a core input in both Ohlson and Altman failure models.
Revenue vs net income
Cash generation
Debt vs cash vs equity
✅ Mitigating factors
- Strong current ratio (14.62).
📰 Recent news scan
- Psyence BioMed Partners with DEA-Registered Benuvia Operations to Establish U.S. Manufacture of Pharmaceutical-Grade IbogaineYahoo Finance · 2026-10-05
- Psyence BioMed Announces Exclusive U.S. Ibogaine Licence for Texas Ibogaine Research CorporationYahoo Finance · 2026-09-28
- Psyence BioMed Announces Strategic Ibogaine InvestmentYahoo Finance · 2026-09-23
- Psyence BioMed Establishes Texas Ibogaine Research Corporation to Advance U.S. Ibogaine DevelopmentYahoo Finance · 2026-09-14
- Psyence BioMed Welcomes U.S. Administration’s Latest Action to Accelerate Ibogaine DevelopmentYahoo Finance · 2026-08-18
- Psyence BioMed Announces U.S. Strategic Engagement Initiative Focused on GMP Ibogaine Research and ManufacturingYahoo Finance · 2026-05-15
⚖️ U.S. legal pathway — Title 11, U.S. Code
Which chapter would apply?
- Chapter 11 — reorganisation. Management usually stays in control as debtor-in-possession; the automatic stay (§362) halts collection; a plan must meet the best-interests test (§1129(a)(7)) and the absolute priority rule (§1129(b)) — creditors are paid before shareholders, who are frequently wiped out.
- Chapter 7 — liquidation. A trustee sells assets and distributes proceeds by statutory priority (§§507, 726).
- Subchapter V (“Chapter 5”) is a fast track for small-business debtors under a statutory debt cap, but SEC-reporting companies are excluded (§101(51D)) — so it rarely applies to listed companies.
What typically triggers a filing
- Payment default or covenant breach lenders will not waive; a debt maturity that cannot be refinanced.
- Auditor going-concern doubt (ASC 205-40 / PCAOB AS 2415) — often itself a default trigger in loan agreements.
- Creditors can force a case with an involuntary petition (§303) if debts are not paid as they come due.
- Delisting after sustained sub-$1 prices or equity deficits cuts off equity funding.
Transactions shortly before filing can be clawed back (preferences — 90 days, §547; fraudulent transfers — 2 years, §548).
Frequently asked questions
What do Psyence Biomedical Ltd.'s financial-health indicators show?
As of 2026-10-08, Psyence Biomedical Ltd.'s public financial data places it in the 'Weak' band with a distress score of 63/100, driven by cash runway under 12 months, operations consume cash and share price down >80% from 52-week high. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.
What is Psyence Biomedical Ltd.'s financial distress score?
63/100 ('Weak'). Ohlson O-score 23.14 (model 1-year failure probability 100%).
What works in Psyence Biomedical Ltd.'s favour?
Strong current ratio (14.62).
How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?
In a Chapter 11 reorganisation the absolute priority rule pays secured lenders, then unsecured creditors, before shareholders — so existing shares are usually cancelled or heavily diluted. In Chapter 7 the company is liquidated and shareholders rarely recover anything.
Other Pharma & Biotech companies with distress indicators
- ABVC BioPharma, Inc. (ABVC)Very weak 100/100
- AKAN (AKAN)Very weak 100/100
- Endovia Health Sciences, Inc. (EDVA)Very weak 100/100
- Elicio Therapeutics, Inc. (ELTX)Very weak 100/100
- IM Cannabis Corp. (IMCC)Very weak 100/100
- NeuroSense Therapeutics Ltd. (NRSN)Very weak 100/100
Methodology
Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.