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Financial distress indicators · updated 2026-10-08

MSGY — financial distress indicators

MSGY — open full stock page →
Unclassified Mkt cap $9.05MStatements as of Mar 2026 Flows: FY Mar 2026
56WEAK
Distress score / 100
Statistical model output from public data — not an allegation of insolvency or default. Methodology

Financial-health summary

MSGY's reported numbers place it in the 'Weak' financial-health band (distress score 56/100). The main indicators are cash runway under 12 months, operations consume cash and share price down >80% from 52-week high. Independently, the Ohlson accounting model puts its 1-year failure probability at 98%. In its favour: strong current ratio (3.13).

3.13
Current ratio
—
Interest cover
—
Debt / EBITDA
1 mo
Cash runway
98%
Ohlson 1-yr PD
—
Merton 1-yr PD
$315.72K
Cash & ST investments
-
Total debt
-97%
From 52-week high

Stress by dimension

Share price — last 12 months

Indicators behind the score

Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.

Cash runway under 12 months+15
Liquidity

At the current free-cash-flow burn, cash covers ~1 months.

Going-concern standard: management must assess ability to continue for 12 months (ASC 205-40). Runway below that horizon forces dilution, asset sales or default.

Operations consume cash+10
Cash Flow

Operating cash flow negative in 2 of the last 3 years.

A business that cannot fund itself from operations depends on external capital to survive.

Share price down >80% from 52-week high+10
Market Signal

Price is -97% from its 52-week high.

Equity markets price distress early; collapses of this size usually reflect fear of wipe-out in a restructuring.

Ohlson O-score signals likely failure+10
Market Signal

O-score 3.73 → model probability 98%.

Ohlson (1980) logit model of 1-year corporate failure; O > 0 (p > 50%) is the original failure cut-off.

Heavy shareholder dilution+6
Market Signal

Share count up +21% in a year.

Large issuance usually funds operating losses rather than growth.

Operating-margin collapse+5
Profitability

Operating margin fell from 7% to -33% in two years.

Sharp margin compression signals loss of pricing power or cost control.

Revenue vs net income

Cash generation

Debt vs cash vs equity

✅ Mitigating factors

  • Strong current ratio (3.13).
  • High insider/promoter ownership (35%) aligns management with survival.

Frequently asked questions

What do MSGY's financial-health indicators show?

As of 2026-10-08, MSGY's public financial data places it in the 'Weak' band with a distress score of 56/100, driven by cash runway under 12 months, operations consume cash and share price down >80% from 52-week high. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.

What is MSGY's financial distress score?

56/100 ('Weak'). Ohlson O-score 3.73 (model 1-year failure probability 98%).

What works in MSGY's favour?

Strong current ratio (3.13). High insider/promoter ownership (35%) aligns management with survival.

How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?

In a Chapter 11 reorganisation the absolute priority rule pays secured lenders, then unsecured creditors, before shareholders — so existing shares are usually cancelled or heavily diluted. In Chapter 7 the company is liquidated and shareholders rarely recover anything.

Other Unclassified companies with distress indicators

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Methodology

Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.

Not a prediction of default or insolvency. This page summarises statistical risk indicators from public data. It does not allege insolvency, default or wrongdoing, and the company may have resources or plans not reflected here (undrawn credit lines, asset sales, parent support, recent capital raises). Verify with the company’s filings (SEC 10-K/10-Q). Not investment or legal advice.