Lumexa Imaging Holdings, Inc. — financial distress indicators
Financial-health summary
Lumexa Imaging Holdings, Inc.'s reported numbers place it in the 'Weak' financial-health band (distress score 62/100). The main indicators are operating profit does not cover interest, market-implied default probability >20% and losses in each of the last 3 years. Independently, the Ohlson accounting model puts its 1-year failure probability at 62% and the market-implied (Merton) default probability is 25.8%. In its favour: operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months.
Stress by dimension
Share price — last 12 months
Indicators behind the score
Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.
Interest coverage (EBIT / interest) is 0.23×.
When EBIT < interest, debt service is funded from cash reserves or new borrowing — the classic precursor to payment default and covenant breach.
Merton distance-to-default 0.65 σ → PD 26%.
Structural (Merton/KMV) model: equity is a call option on assets; low distance-to-default means assets are close to the default point.
Net income negative in 3 of 3 fiscal years.
Persistent losses erode equity and the capacity to absorb shocks.
Total debt is 6.8× EBITDA.
Debt above ~6× EBITDA is deep sub-investment-grade territory; refinancing becomes difficult when rates or earnings move against the company.
O-score 0.50 → model probability 62%.
Ohlson (1980) logit model of 1-year corporate failure; O > 0 (p > 50%) is the original failure cut-off.
Revenue vs net income
Cash generation
Debt vs cash vs equity
✅ Mitigating factors
- Operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months.
- High insider/promoter ownership (81%) aligns management with survival.
📰 Recent news scan
- Lumexa Imaging Announces Participation in Upcoming Investor ConferencesYahoo Finance · 2026-08-25
- Wall Street Analysts See a 36.88% Upside in Lumexa (LMRI): Can the Stock Really Move This High?Yahoo Finance · 2026-08-24
- Lumexa Imaging (LMRI) Q2 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptYahoo Finance · 2026-08-20
- Lumexa Imaging Holdings Inc (LMRI) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Advanced Modality ...Yahoo Finance · 2026-08-13
- Lumexa Imaging Q2 Earnings Call HighlightsYahoo Finance · 2026-08-13
- Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Terumo, QuidelOrtho, Lumexa Imaging and BrainswayYahoo Finance · 2026-07-21
⚖️ U.S. legal pathway — Title 11, U.S. Code
Which chapter would apply?
- Chapter 11 — reorganisation. Management usually stays in control as debtor-in-possession; the automatic stay (§362) halts collection; a plan must meet the best-interests test (§1129(a)(7)) and the absolute priority rule (§1129(b)) — creditors are paid before shareholders, who are frequently wiped out.
- Chapter 7 — liquidation. A trustee sells assets and distributes proceeds by statutory priority (§§507, 726).
- Subchapter V (“Chapter 5”) is a fast track for small-business debtors under a statutory debt cap, but SEC-reporting companies are excluded (§101(51D)) — so it rarely applies to listed companies.
What typically triggers a filing
- Payment default or covenant breach lenders will not waive; a debt maturity that cannot be refinanced.
- Auditor going-concern doubt (ASC 205-40 / PCAOB AS 2415) — often itself a default trigger in loan agreements.
- Creditors can force a case with an involuntary petition (§303) if debts are not paid as they come due.
- Delisting after sustained sub-$1 prices or equity deficits cuts off equity funding.
Transactions shortly before filing can be clawed back (preferences — 90 days, §547; fraudulent transfers — 2 years, §548).
Frequently asked questions
What do Lumexa Imaging Holdings, Inc.'s financial-health indicators show?
As of 2026-10-08, Lumexa Imaging Holdings, Inc.'s public financial data places it in the 'Weak' band with a distress score of 62/100, driven by operating profit does not cover interest, market-implied default probability >20% and losses in each of the last 3 years. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.
What is Lumexa Imaging Holdings, Inc.'s financial distress score?
62/100 ('Weak'). Ohlson O-score 0.5 (model 1-year failure probability 62%). Merton distance-to-default 0.65 σ (model default probability 25.8%).
What works in Lumexa Imaging Holdings, Inc.'s favour?
Operating cash flow is positive over the latest 12 months. High insider/promoter ownership (81%) aligns management with survival.
How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?
In a Chapter 11 reorganisation the absolute priority rule pays secured lenders, then unsecured creditors, before shareholders — so existing shares are usually cancelled or heavily diluted. In Chapter 7 the company is liquidated and shareholders rarely recover anything.
Other Healthcare & MedTech companies with distress indicators
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Methodology
Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.