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Financial distress indicators · updated 2026-10-08

Horizon Quantum Holdings Ltd. — financial distress indicators

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TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure Mkt cap $558.25MStatements as of Dec 2025 Flows: FY Dec 2024
48WATCH
Distress score / 100
Statistical model output from public data — not an allegation of insolvency or default. Methodology

Financial-health summary

Horizon Quantum Holdings Ltd.'s reported numbers place it in the 'Watch' financial-health band (distress score 48/100). The main indicators are liabilities exceed assets (negative equity), severe working-capital shortfall and ohlson o-score signals likely failure. Independently, the Ohlson accounting model puts its 1-year failure probability at 100% and the market-implied (Merton) default probability is 0.0%. In its favour: cash on hand covers all debt (net-cash balance sheet).

0.1
Current ratio
-158.75×
Interest cover
—
Debt / EBITDA
n/a
Cash runway
100%
Ohlson 1-yr PD
0.0%
Merton 1-yr PD
$113.25M
Cash & ST investments
$485.32K
Total debt
-58%
From 52-week high

Stress by dimension

Share price — last 12 months

Indicators behind the score

Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.

Liabilities exceed assets (negative equity)+18
Solvency

Total liabilities are 1.96× total assets.

Balance-sheet insolvency test: debts exceeding the fair value of assets is the statutory definition of 'insolvent' in 11 U.S.C. §101(32).

Severe working-capital shortfall+12
Liquidity

Current ratio is 0.10 (current assets cover 10% of near-term obligations).

Cash-flow insolvency test: inability to pay debts as they fall due is the trigger for both U.S. involuntary petitions and Indian IBC default.

Ohlson O-score signals likely failure+10
Market Signal

O-score 15.20 → model probability 100%.

Ohlson (1980) logit model of 1-year corporate failure; O > 0 (p > 50%) is the original failure cut-off.

Losses in 2 of the last 2 years+8
Profitability

Recurring net losses.

Repeated losses are a core input in both Ohlson and Altman failure models.

Revenue vs net income

Cash generation

Debt vs cash vs equity

✅ Mitigating factors

  • Cash on hand covers all debt (net-cash balance sheet).
  • Revenue still growing (+599% YoY).
  • High insider/promoter ownership (49%) aligns management with survival.

Frequently asked questions

What do Horizon Quantum Holdings Ltd.'s financial-health indicators show?

As of 2026-10-08, Horizon Quantum Holdings Ltd.'s public financial data places it in the 'Watch' band with a distress score of 48/100, driven by liabilities exceed assets (negative equity), severe working-capital shortfall and ohlson o-score signals likely failure. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.

What is Horizon Quantum Holdings Ltd.'s financial distress score?

48/100 ('Watch'). Ohlson O-score 15.2 (model 1-year failure probability 100%). Merton distance-to-default 4.38 σ (model default probability 0.0%).

What works in Horizon Quantum Holdings Ltd.'s favour?

Cash on hand covers all debt (net-cash balance sheet). Revenue still growing (+599% YoY). High insider/promoter ownership (49%) aligns management with survival.

How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?

In a Chapter 11 reorganisation the absolute priority rule pays secured lenders, then unsecured creditors, before shareholders — so existing shares are usually cancelled or heavily diluted. In Chapter 7 the company is liquidated and shareholders rarely recover anything.

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Methodology

Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.

Not a prediction of default or insolvency. This page summarises statistical risk indicators from public data. It does not allege insolvency, default or wrongdoing, and the company may have resources or plans not reflected here (undrawn credit lines, asset sales, parent support, recent capital raises). Verify with the company’s filings (SEC 10-K/10-Q). Not investment or legal advice.