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Financial distress indicators · updated 2026-10-08

HKIT — financial distress indicators

HKIT — open full stock page →
Unclassified Mkt cap $290.58KStatements as of Dec 2025 Flows: FY Dec 2025
35WATCH
Distress score / 100
Statistical model output from public data — not an allegation of insolvency or default. Methodology

Financial-health summary

HKIT's reported numbers place it in the 'Watch' financial-health band (distress score 35/100). The main indicators are market-implied default probability >20%, share price down >80% from 52-week high and operating-margin collapse. Independently, the Ohlson accounting model puts its 1-year failure probability at 8% and the market-implied (Merton) default probability is 89.2%. In its favour: cash on hand covers all debt (net-cash balance sheet).

8.23
Current ratio
-5.8×
Interest cover
3.62×
Debt / EBITDA
28 mo
Cash runway
8%
Ohlson 1-yr PD
89.2%
Merton 1-yr PD
$3.61M
Cash & ST investments
$2.65M
Total debt
-100%
From 52-week high

Stress by dimension

Share price — last 12 months

Indicators behind the score

Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.

Market-implied default probability >20%+15
Market Signal

Merton distance-to-default -1.24 σ → PD 89%.

Structural (Merton/KMV) model: equity is a call option on assets; low distance-to-default means assets are close to the default point.

Share price down >80% from 52-week high+10
Market Signal

Price is -100% from its 52-week high.

Equity markets price distress early; collapses of this size usually reflect fear of wipe-out in a restructuring.

Operating-margin collapse+5
Profitability

Operating margin fell from 15% to -27% in two years.

Sharp margin compression signals loss of pricing power or cost control.

Operations consume cash+5
Cash Flow

Operating cash flow negative in 3 of the last 3 years. The company is profitable, so this likely reflects working-capital or loan-book growth.

A business that cannot fund itself from operations depends on external capital to survive.

Revenue vs net income

Cash generation

Debt vs cash vs equity

✅ Mitigating factors

  • Cash on hand covers all debt (net-cash balance sheet).
  • Strong current ratio (8.23).
  • Revenue still growing (+125% YoY).

Frequently asked questions

What do HKIT's financial-health indicators show?

As of 2026-10-08, HKIT's public financial data places it in the 'Watch' band with a distress score of 35/100, driven by market-implied default probability >20%, share price down >80% from 52-week high and operating-margin collapse. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.

What is HKIT's financial distress score?

35/100 ('Watch'). Ohlson O-score -2.48 (model 1-year failure probability 8%). Merton distance-to-default -1.24 σ (model default probability 89.2%).

What works in HKIT's favour?

Cash on hand covers all debt (net-cash balance sheet). Strong current ratio (8.23). Revenue still growing (+125% YoY).

How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?

In a Chapter 11 reorganisation the absolute priority rule pays secured lenders, then unsecured creditors, before shareholders — so existing shares are usually cancelled or heavily diluted. In Chapter 7 the company is liquidated and shareholders rarely recover anything.

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Methodology

Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.

Not a prediction of default or insolvency. This page summarises statistical risk indicators from public data. It does not allege insolvency, default or wrongdoing, and the company may have resources or plans not reflected here (undrawn credit lines, asset sales, parent support, recent capital raises). Verify with the company’s filings (SEC 10-K/10-Q). Not investment or legal advice.