Gemini Space Station, Inc. — financial distress indicators
Financial-health summary
Gemini Space Station, Inc.'s reported numbers place it in the 'Watch' financial-health band (distress score 39/100). The main indicators are consecutive annual losses, share price down >80% from 52-week high and extreme volatility. In its favour: revenue still growing (+26% yoy).
Stress by dimension
Share price — last 12 months
Indicators behind the score
Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.
Net loss in each of the last two years.
Sustained losses at a lender usually mean credit losses are outrunning provisions — a risk-management failure.
Price is -83% from its 52-week high.
Equity markets price distress early; collapses of this size usually reflect fear of wipe-out in a restructuring.
Annualised volatility is 101%.
High equity volatility raises the market-implied default probability.
Revenue vs net income
Cash generation
Debt vs cash vs equity
✅ Mitigating factors
- Revenue still growing (+26% YoY).
📰 Recent news scan
- GEMI Stock Climbs Despite MoonPay-Gemini Spat Over Alleged 'Fake DMs' - StocktwitsGoogle News · 2026-10-07
- GEMI Oct 2026 6.000 call (GEMI261009C00006000) stock price, news, quote and history - Yahoo Finance UKGoogle News · 2026-10-07
- GEMI Oct 2026 2.500 call (GEMI261009C00002500) stock price, news, quote and history - Yahoo Finance UKGoogle News · 2026-10-07
- Citi Slashes Gemini Stock To Sell - And Cuts Bitcoin Forecast Too - Yellow.comGoogle News · 2026-10-06
- ‘Bomb Cyclone’ Forecast In NYC Bets Lift Gemini In After Hours - StocktwitsGoogle News · 2026-10-06
- Gemini Space Station (GEMI) Stock Fair Value Falls As Analysts Weigh Weak Crypto Execution - Yahoo FinanceGoogle News · 2026-09-18
⚖️ U.S. legal pathway — broker-dealer liquidation
- Stockbrokers and commodity brokers cannot reorganise under Chapter 11 (§109(d)); they liquidate under Chapter 7 (subchapters III/IV) or in a SIPA proceeding.
- SIPC protects customer accounts up to $500,000 (including $250,000 cash) for missing customer property — not market losses.
- Net-capital rule (SEC Rule 15c3-1) breaches are the regulatory early warning.
Frequently asked questions
What do Gemini Space Station, Inc.'s financial-health indicators show?
As of 2026-10-08, Gemini Space Station, Inc.'s public financial data places it in the 'Watch' band with a distress score of 39/100, driven by consecutive annual losses, share price down >80% from 52-week high and extreme volatility. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.
What is Gemini Space Station, Inc.'s financial distress score?
39/100 ('Watch').
What works in Gemini Space Station, Inc.'s favour?
Revenue still growing (+26% YoY).
How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?
In a Chapter 11 reorganisation the absolute priority rule pays secured lenders, then unsecured creditors, before shareholders — so existing shares are usually cancelled or heavily diluted. In Chapter 7 the company is liquidated and shareholders rarely recover anything.
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Methodology
Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.