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Financial distress indicators · updated 2026-10-08

DeFi Development Corp. — financial distress indicators

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Financial ServicesAsset Management Mkt cap $149.40MStatements as of Mar 2026 Flows: FY Dec 2025
58WEAK
Distress score / 100
Statistical model output from public data — not an allegation of insolvency or default. Methodology

Financial-health summary

DeFi Development Corp.'s reported numbers place it in the 'Weak' financial-health band (distress score 58/100). The main indicators are critically thin capital, consecutive annual losses and deep share-price drawdown. In its favour: revenue still growing (+442% yoy).

4.4%
Equity / assets
+442%
Revenue YoY
111%
Volatility
$6.29M
Cash & ST investments
-
Total debt
-74%
From 52-week high

Stress by dimension

Share price — last 12 months

Indicators behind the score

Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.

Critically thin capital+18
Solvency

Equity / assets is 4.4% vs a ~10% prudent floor for this business.

Leverage-ratio proxy for regulatory capital (Basel III; U.S. PCA 'well-capitalized' ≥5% leverage; RBI CRAR ≥9% banks / 15% NBFCs). Risk-weighted CET1 is not public in this dataset.

Consecutive annual losses+18
Profitability

Net loss in each of the last two years.

Sustained losses at a lender usually mean credit losses are outrunning provisions — a risk-management failure.

Deep share-price drawdown+10
Market Signal

Price is -74% from its 52-week high.

For financial firms a share-price run often precedes a deposit or funding run (confidence channel).

Aggressive balance-sheet growth+6
Solvency

Total assets grew +6925% in a year.

Hyper-growth outpacing risk controls preceded failures such as Yes Bank (2020) and SVB (2023).

Extreme volatility+6
Market Signal

Annualised volatility is 111%.

High equity volatility raises the market-implied default probability.

Revenue vs net income

Cash generation

Debt vs cash vs equity

✅ Mitigating factors

  • Revenue still growing (+442% YoY).

Frequently asked questions

What do DeFi Development Corp.'s financial-health indicators show?

As of 2026-10-08, DeFi Development Corp.'s public financial data places it in the 'Weak' band with a distress score of 58/100, driven by critically thin capital, consecutive annual losses and deep share-price drawdown. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.

What is DeFi Development Corp.'s financial distress score?

58/100 ('Weak').

What works in DeFi Development Corp.'s favour?

Revenue still growing (+442% YoY).

How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?

In a Chapter 11 reorganisation the absolute priority rule pays secured lenders, then unsecured creditors, before shareholders — so existing shares are usually cancelled or heavily diluted. In Chapter 7 the company is liquidated and shareholders rarely recover anything.

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Methodology

Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.

Not a prediction of default or insolvency. This page summarises statistical risk indicators from public data. It does not allege insolvency, default or wrongdoing, and the company may have resources or plans not reflected here (undrawn credit lines, asset sales, parent support, recent capital raises). Verify with the company’s filings (SEC 10-K/10-Q). Not investment or legal advice.