Coincheck Group N.V. — financial distress indicators
Financial-health summary
Coincheck Group N.V.'s reported numbers place it in the 'Watch' financial-health band (distress score 45/100). The main indicators are consecutive annual losses, share price down >80% from 52-week high and extreme volatility. In its favour: revenue still growing (+25% yoy).
Stress by dimension
Share price — last 12 months
Indicators behind the score
Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.
Net loss in each of the last two years.
Sustained losses at a lender usually mean credit losses are outrunning provisions — a risk-management failure.
Price is -83% from its 52-week high.
Equity markets price distress early; collapses of this size usually reflect fear of wipe-out in a restructuring.
Annualised volatility is 139%.
High equity volatility raises the market-implied default probability.
Share count up +24% in a year.
Large issuance usually funds operating losses rather than growth.
Revenue vs net income
Cash generation
Debt vs cash vs equity
✅ Mitigating factors
- Revenue still growing (+25% YoY).
- High insider/promoter ownership (95%) aligns management with survival.
📰 Recent news scan
- Coincheck shares fall 4.3% amid broader market declineYahoo Finance · 2026-09-01
- Coincheck Group Eyes Japan’s Institutional Crypto Boom With New Infrastructure PushYahoo Finance · 2026-08-12
- Coincheck Group Q1 Earnings Call HighlightsYahoo Finance · 2026-08-07
- Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: What to Know Ahead of Q1 ReleaseYahoo Finance · 2026-07-30
- Coincheck Group NV (CNCK) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Market Challenges with ...Yahoo Finance · 2026-05-13
- Coincheck Group Q4 Earnings Call HighlightsYahoo Finance · 2026-05-12
⚖️ U.S. legal pathway — broker-dealer liquidation
- Stockbrokers and commodity brokers cannot reorganise under Chapter 11 (§109(d)); they liquidate under Chapter 7 (subchapters III/IV) or in a SIPA proceeding.
- SIPC protects customer accounts up to $500,000 (including $250,000 cash) for missing customer property — not market losses.
- Net-capital rule (SEC Rule 15c3-1) breaches are the regulatory early warning.
Frequently asked questions
What do Coincheck Group N.V.'s financial-health indicators show?
As of 2026-10-08, Coincheck Group N.V.'s public financial data places it in the 'Watch' band with a distress score of 45/100, driven by consecutive annual losses, share price down >80% from 52-week high and extreme volatility. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.
What is Coincheck Group N.V.'s financial distress score?
45/100 ('Watch').
What works in Coincheck Group N.V.'s favour?
Revenue still growing (+25% YoY). High insider/promoter ownership (95%) aligns management with survival.
How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?
In a Chapter 11 reorganisation the absolute priority rule pays secured lenders, then unsecured creditors, before shareholders — so existing shares are usually cancelled or heavily diluted. In Chapter 7 the company is liquidated and shareholders rarely recover anything.
Other Bank & Finance companies with distress indicators
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- Pineapple Financial Inc. (PAPL)Weak 69/100
- TeraWulf Inc. (WULF)Weak 68/100
- SHF Holdings, Inc. (SHFS)Weak 67/100
- Streamex Corp. (STEX)Weak 67/100
Methodology
Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.