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Financial distress indicators · updated 2026-10-08

BriaCell Therapeutics Corp. — financial distress indicators

BCTX — open full stock page →
HealthcareBiotechnology Mkt cap $34.10MStatements as of Apr 2026 Flows: FY Jul 2025
53WEAK
Distress score / 100
Statistical model output from public data — not an allegation of insolvency or default. Methodology

Financial-health summary

BriaCell Therapeutics Corp.'s reported numbers place it in the 'Weak' financial-health band (distress score 53/100). The main indicators are cash runway under 12 months, losses in each of the last 3 years and operations consume cash. Independently, the Ohlson accounting model puts its 1-year failure probability at 100%. In its favour: strong current ratio (7.07).

7.07
Current ratio
—
Interest cover
—
Debt / EBITDA
11 mo
Cash runway
100%
Ohlson 1-yr PD
—
Merton 1-yr PD
$22.80M
Cash & ST investments
-
Total debt
-72%
From 52-week high

Stress by dimension

Share price — last 12 months

Indicators behind the score

Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.

Cash runway under 12 months+15
Liquidity

At the current free-cash-flow burn, cash covers ~11 months.

Going-concern standard: management must assess ability to continue for 12 months (ASC 205-40). Runway below that horizon forces dilution, asset sales or default.

Losses in each of the last 3 years+12
Profitability

Net income negative in 3 of 3 fiscal years.

Persistent losses erode equity and the capacity to absorb shocks.

Operations consume cash+10
Cash Flow

Operating cash flow negative in 3 of the last 3 years.

A business that cannot fund itself from operations depends on external capital to survive.

Ohlson O-score signals likely failure+10
Market Signal

O-score 14.77 → model probability 100%.

Ohlson (1980) logit model of 1-year corporate failure; O > 0 (p > 50%) is the original failure cut-off.

Deep share-price drawdown+6
Market Signal

Price is -72% from its 52-week high.

For financial firms a share-price run often precedes a deposit or funding run (confidence channel).

Revenue vs net income

Cash generation

Debt vs cash vs equity

✅ Mitigating factors

  • Strong current ratio (7.07).

Frequently asked questions

What do BriaCell Therapeutics Corp.'s financial-health indicators show?

As of 2026-10-08, BriaCell Therapeutics Corp.'s public financial data places it in the 'Weak' band with a distress score of 53/100, driven by cash runway under 12 months, losses in each of the last 3 years and operations consume cash. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.

What is BriaCell Therapeutics Corp.'s financial distress score?

53/100 ('Weak'). Ohlson O-score 14.77 (model 1-year failure probability 100%).

What works in BriaCell Therapeutics Corp.'s favour?

Strong current ratio (7.07).

How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?

In a Chapter 11 reorganisation the absolute priority rule pays secured lenders, then unsecured creditors, before shareholders — so existing shares are usually cancelled or heavily diluted. In Chapter 7 the company is liquidated and shareholders rarely recover anything.

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Methodology

Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.

Not a prediction of default or insolvency. This page summarises statistical risk indicators from public data. It does not allege insolvency, default or wrongdoing, and the company may have resources or plans not reflected here (undrawn credit lines, asset sales, parent support, recent capital raises). Verify with the company’s filings (SEC 10-K/10-Q). Not investment or legal advice.