AEVEX Corp. — financial distress indicators
Financial-health summary
AEVEX Corp.'s reported numbers place it in the 'Watch' financial-health band (distress score 49/100). The main indicators are operating profit does not cover interest, very high leverage and ohlson o-score signals likely failure. Independently, the Ohlson accounting model puts its 1-year failure probability at 67% and the market-implied (Merton) default probability is 19.2%. In its favour: strong current ratio (2.69).
Stress by dimension
Share price — last 12 months
Indicators behind the score
Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.
Interest coverage (EBIT / interest) is 0.38×.
When EBIT < interest, debt service is funded from cash reserves or new borrowing — the classic precursor to payment default and covenant breach.
Total debt is 8.6× EBITDA.
Debt above ~6× EBITDA is deep sub-investment-grade territory; refinancing becomes difficult when rates or earnings move against the company.
O-score 0.73 → model probability 67%.
Ohlson (1980) logit model of 1-year corporate failure; O > 0 (p > 50%) is the original failure cut-off.
Merton distance-to-default 0.87 σ → PD 19.2%.
Investment-grade issuers typically have 1-year PD well below 1%.
Price is -65% from its 52-week high.
For financial firms a share-price run often precedes a deposit or funding run (confidence channel).
Revenue vs net income
Cash generation
Debt vs cash vs equity
✅ Mitigating factors
- Strong current ratio (2.69).
- Revenue still growing (+10% YoY).
📰 Recent news scan
- AVEX UPCOMING DEADLINE: SueWallSt Alerts AEVEX Corp. Stockholders of Securities Class Action - Contact the Firm - PR NewswireGoogle News · 2026-10-08
- Important Notice From Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC: Investors in AEVEX - The National Law ReviewGoogle News · 2026-10-08
- AVEX Shareholder Alert: AEVEX Corp. Securities Class Action Lawsuit - Investors Should Contact Levi & Korsinsky - MorningstarGoogle News · 2026-10-07
- AEVEX Corp. Class Action Lawsuit Seeks Recovery for Investors; October 20, 2026, Deadline - Contact Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP - themountaineer.comGoogle News · 2026-10-07
- Top AEVEX (AVEX) Competitors 2026 - MarketBeatGoogle News · 2026-10-05
- Jim Cramer Questions AEVEX (AVEX) Stock Sell-Off - Yahoo FinanceGoogle News · 2026-08-26
⚖️ U.S. legal pathway — Title 11, U.S. Code
Which chapter would apply?
- Chapter 11 — reorganisation. Management usually stays in control as debtor-in-possession; the automatic stay (§362) halts collection; a plan must meet the best-interests test (§1129(a)(7)) and the absolute priority rule (§1129(b)) — creditors are paid before shareholders, who are frequently wiped out.
- Chapter 7 — liquidation. A trustee sells assets and distributes proceeds by statutory priority (§§507, 726).
- Subchapter V (“Chapter 5”) is a fast track for small-business debtors under a statutory debt cap, but SEC-reporting companies are excluded (§101(51D)) — so it rarely applies to listed companies.
What typically triggers a filing
- Payment default or covenant breach lenders will not waive; a debt maturity that cannot be refinanced.
- Auditor going-concern doubt (ASC 205-40 / PCAOB AS 2415) — often itself a default trigger in loan agreements.
- Creditors can force a case with an involuntary petition (§303) if debts are not paid as they come due.
- Delisting after sustained sub-$1 prices or equity deficits cuts off equity funding.
Transactions shortly before filing can be clawed back (preferences — 90 days, §547; fraudulent transfers — 2 years, §548).
Frequently asked questions
What do AEVEX Corp.'s financial-health indicators show?
As of 2026-10-08, AEVEX Corp.'s public financial data places it in the 'Watch' band with a distress score of 49/100, driven by operating profit does not cover interest, very high leverage and ohlson o-score signals likely failure. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.
What is AEVEX Corp.'s financial distress score?
49/100 ('Watch'). Ohlson O-score 0.73 (model 1-year failure probability 67%). Merton distance-to-default 0.87 σ (model default probability 19.2%).
What works in AEVEX Corp.'s favour?
Strong current ratio (2.69). Revenue still growing (+10% YoY).
How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?
In a Chapter 11 reorganisation the absolute priority rule pays secured lenders, then unsecured creditors, before shareholders — so existing shares are usually cancelled or heavily diluted. In Chapter 7 the company is liquidated and shareholders rarely recover anything.
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Methodology
Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.