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Financial distress indicators · updated 2026-10-08

AI Financial Corporation — financial distress indicators

AIFC — open full stock page →
TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure Mkt cap $61.53MStatements as of Mar 2026 Flows: FY Dec 2025
53WEAK
Distress score / 100
Statistical model output from public data — not an allegation of insolvency or default. Methodology

Financial-health summary

AI Financial Corporation's reported numbers place it in the 'Weak' financial-health band (distress score 53/100). The main indicators are losses in each of the last 3 years, share price down >80% from 52-week high and massive shareholder dilution. In its favour: revenue still growing (+109% yoy).

—
Current ratio
—
Interest cover
—
Debt / EBITDA
18 mo
Cash runway
—
Ohlson 1-yr PD
—
Merton 1-yr PD
$10.52M
Cash & ST investments
-
Total debt
-86%
From 52-week high

Stress by dimension

Share price — last 12 months

Indicators behind the score

Each red flag shows the evidence from the company’s own filings and the financial or legal principle behind it. Points add to the 0–100 score.

Losses in each of the last 3 years+12
Profitability

Net income negative in 3 of 3 fiscal years.

Persistent losses erode equity and the capacity to absorb shocks.

Share price down >80% from 52-week high+10
Market Signal

Price is -86% from its 52-week high.

Equity markets price distress early; collapses of this size usually reflect fear of wipe-out in a restructuring.

Massive shareholder dilution+10
Market Signal

Share count up +720% in a year.

Survival financing: repeated equity raises at depressed prices.

Cash runway under 24 months+8
Liquidity

Cash covers ~18 months of free-cash-flow burn.

Funding needs within two years make the company dependent on capital-market access.

Trading below $1+8
Market Signal

Last price $0.44.

Below the $1 minimum-bid listing standard (Nasdaq Rule 5550(a)(2) / NYSE 802.01C); sustained breach leads to delisting and loss of capital-market access.

Operating-margin collapse+5
Profitability

Operating margin fell from -42% to -92% in two years.

Sharp margin compression signals loss of pricing power or cost control.

Revenue vs net income

Cash generation

Debt vs cash vs equity

✅ Mitigating factors

  • Revenue still growing (+109% YoY).

Frequently asked questions

What do AI Financial Corporation's financial-health indicators show?

As of 2026-10-08, AI Financial Corporation's public financial data places it in the 'Weak' band with a distress score of 53/100, driven by losses in each of the last 3 years, share price down >80% from 52-week high and massive shareholder dilution. This is a statistical screen of reported numbers — it does not mean the company is insolvent, has defaulted or will enter insolvency proceedings.

What is AI Financial Corporation's financial distress score?

53/100 ('Weak').

What works in AI Financial Corporation's favour?

Revenue still growing (+109% YoY).

How are shareholders treated if a company enters insolvency?

In a Chapter 11 reorganisation the absolute priority rule pays secured lenders, then unsecured creditors, before shareholders — so existing shares are usually cancelled or heavily diluted. In Chapter 7 the company is liquidated and shareholders rarely recover anything.

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Methodology

Score = capped sum of rule-based red flags across seven dimensions (liquidity, solvency, profitability, cash flow, sales trend, market signal, news). Ohlson O-score (1980) gives an accounting-based 1-year failure probability; Merton distance-to-default (Bharath & Shumway 2008) gives a market-implied probability. Financial institutions use a capital-based rule set. Recalculated every trading day from the latest filings, prices and news.

Not a prediction of default or insolvency. This page summarises statistical risk indicators from public data. It does not allege insolvency, default or wrongdoing, and the company may have resources or plans not reflected here (undrawn credit lines, asset sales, parent support, recent capital raises). Verify with the company’s filings (SEC 10-K/10-Q). Not investment or legal advice.